FED PHILLY TURNS SURPRISINGLY: FROM COLLAPSE TO NEAR GROUND, NOW ON THE ROAD TO RECOVERY? 🔁💥
The market has just received a positive shock: The Philadelphia Manufacturing Index has rebounded strongly from -26.4 to -4.0 – far exceeding expectations of -11.3. Although it hasn’t escaped the negative zone, this is the strongest improvement since the beginning of the year.
🔍 Key details:
✅ Actual: -4.0
🔻 Forecast: -11.3
🔻 Previously: -26.4
This is the third consecutive month that this index has improved, signaling that manufacturing is "straining to rise".
💡 Market reaction:
- US stocks: slight positive reaction, manufacturing – materials sector may attract money.
- USD: stable → if economic data continues to be good, the Fed may keep interest rates high longer.
- Crypto: not clearly affected yet, but if USD strengthens significantly, BTC may face short-term profit taking.
🎯 Personally:
- Monitor the US bond market, if the 10Y yield rebounds, be cautious with altcoins.
- For Forex: consider going long on USDJPY if it exceeds 158.50.
- Crypto: maintain position, but prepare cash if pressure from the USD increases.
📌 The dark period for US manufacturing may have passed, but is it entering a real recovery cycle? 🤔
