ETF Inflows Exploding but ETH Doesn't Rise? Be Careful! This Might Be the Most Ruthless 'Transfer Trap' by Institutions!
Ethereum ETF funds have been flowing in for a month, so why is the price still stagnant? Don’t panic, today we will directly peel back the skin of the 'false good news'!
First, ETF inflows ≠ Institutions are buying in
Many people see funds coming into an ETF and fantasize about 'institutions bottoming out', which is pure self-indulgence! ETFs can be bought by retail investors, arbitrageurs, and market makers, what does it have to do with 'smart money'? The inflow data you see might just be a bunch of retail investors rushing in to take the bait, while institutions have been laughing off the market!
Second, Institutions are crafty, transfers can be faked
For big institutions like BlackRock, if they have long been hoarding coins at low prices and then transfer them to the ETF custody address, on-chain data will immediately show 'suddenly someone is buying in bulk'! But what’s the truth? They have already built their positions, and the transfer is just for accounting purposes, while retail investors are tricked into thinking 'big money is entering', only to be cut down!
Third, real institutional positions are never shown to you
When big money wants to enter, they definitely do it secretly through over-the-counter trading, buying spot with one hand and shorting contracts with the other, pretending 'institutions are buying', but in reality, they are quietly unloading! This kind of trick, retail investors can't defend against!
Fourth, Retail investors hedging altcoins end up bleeding
Many people hold a bunch of altcoins, fearing too much loss, so they go short on ETH to hedge. What’s the result? ETH doesn’t drop, but altcoins crash first, the hedge turns into a 'double kill'! This kind of operation is purely retail investors adding drama for themselves!
The current ETF fund inflow for ETH is just a 'false signal' celebration!
1. Retail investors can also create 'net inflows', don't shout that institutions are coming;
2. Institutions can fake transfers, don’t be fooled by on-chain data;
3. Sudden massive inflows one day? It might be that institutions bought earlier and are now just transferring;
4. Net inflows could be a scheme by institutions to lure you into taking the bait;
5. Shorting ETH to hedge altcoins? That’s purely suicidal!
If ETF funds can really continue to flow in for a month or two, or even longer, a qualitative change will eventually be triggered by quantitative change! The price not rising now is just because the time isn’t right. Net inflows themselves are a positive signal, be patient, don’t be scared away by short-term fluctuations.
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