🔴 Geneva Negotiations: A turning point in the course of the Israeli-Iranian war and its impact on global markets 🔴
📍 Today, direct negotiations are taking place between Iran and the United States in Geneva amidst escalating military tensions in the Middle East. The markets are eagerly awaiting the results, as they will have a direct impact on gold, the dollar, oil, and cryptocurrencies.
Here are 3 potential scenarios and the impact of each on the markets:
✅ Scenario 1: Successful negotiations (calm and positive statements)
Gold: Decrease towards 3280–3300 dollars
Dollar: Slight decline
Oil: Decline towards 75–78 dollars
Cryptocurrencies: Gradual rise
Stocks: Strong recovery
⚠️ Scenario 2: Partial failure or delay (ambiguity and continued tension)
Gold: Relative stability between 3330–3380 dollars
Dollar: Stability with a tendency to rise
Oil: Staying high at 80–85 dollars
Cryptocurrencies: Sideways fluctuations
Stocks: Fluctuation and waiting
🔥 Scenario 3: Complete failure and direct military escalation
Gold: Strong rise towards 3450–3500 dollars
Dollar: Noticeable rise
Oil: Jump towards 95–110 dollars
Cryptocurrencies: Immediate drop then subsequent recovery
Stocks: Sharp decline
📊 Summary of the text table regarding the impact of scenarios on the markets:
In case of successful negotiations:
Gold ↓ | Dollar ↓ | Oil ↓ | Cryptocurrencies ↑
In case of partial failure or delay:
Gold ↔️ | Dollar ↔️ | Oil ↔️ | Cryptocurrencies ↔️
In case of military escalation:
Gold ↑↑ | Dollar ↑ | Oil ↑↑ | Cryptocurrencies ↓ then ↑
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Monitor the markets closely in the coming hours, as every statement or development may have an immediate and profound impact on all asset classes.
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