Bitcoin's Ancient Supply Is Growing Faster Than New Issues
To date, the amount of Bitcoin in the “ancient supply” category has grown faster than the number of new Bitcoins being mined, promoting the cryptocurrency’s long-term scarcity.
88.88% of Bitcoin investors are in profit, reflecting strong bullish sentiment in the market.
Bitcoin [BTC], is trading around $104,970.77, after a slight increase of 0.22% in 24 hours according to CoinMarketCap. Currently, the market is in a pivotal state with important support at $102K.
Amidst the volatile market, BTC holders have remained confident, as inflows to exchanges from whales and retail investors have slowed. This is a sign that the long-term holding trend is becoming more evident, thus reducing selling pressure.
However, this long-term reassurance may come with the potential for short-term volatility, as the market remains unpredictable.
Changes in the Bitcoin ecosystem after halving 2024
A report from Fidelity Digital Assets has highlighted a subtle but significant shift in the Bitcoin ecosystem since the 2024 halving.
For the first time, the number of Bitcoins in the “ancient supply” category – coins that have not moved in at least 10 years – is growing faster than the number of newly mined Bitcoins.
By June 8, 2025, an average of 566 BTC were transferred into this form per day, faster than the new issuance of 450 BTC/day. This shows a significant change in the supply and demand dynamics of Bitcoin.
The ancient supply reportedly accounts for more than 17% of the total Bitcoin issued, creating a major dent in the cryptocurrency's supply-demand structure.
While scarcity may not guarantee an immediate price increase, the rise of long-term investors could highlight the limited nature of Bitcoin in the long term, drawing more attention to the fixed supply.
What does Bitcoin need to do to maintain its growth momentum?
For Bitcoin to reach its target of $1 million per coin, its market capitalization would need to increase to $21 trillion – 10 times its current value of around $2.10 trillion.
This is entirely possible, especially with a fixed supply and an ever-increasing supply of ancient coins. It is estimated that by 2026, the proportion of ancient coins could reach 30% of the total supply (about 6.3 million BTC), thanks to the continuous accumulation of large organizations.
However, political upheaval and events like the Israel-Iran war have created a fair amount of volatile momentum for the cryptocurrency market, which is already known for its high volatility.
This is further reinforced by the report noting that:
“Since the 2024 US presidential election, bitcoin’s ancient supply has decreased by an average of 10% per day—nearly four times the historical average recorded since 2019.”
Coins held for five years or more also saw about 39% of their days down, three times the average, contributing to the temporary stabilization of Bitcoin prices in early 2025.
The Next Step for Bitcoin
This shows that the Ancient Supply Predictions are quite positive about the future of BTC.
However, recent volatility following the elections has highlighted the possibility that even long-term investors may adjust their positions due to external factors.
Evidence from IntoTheBlock data shows that 88.88% of holders are making profits, reflecting the bullish market sentiment at the time of writing, while only 3.77% are losing money.
Source: IntoTheBlock
Therefore, with fewer Bitcoins entering circulation and more coins being held forever or lost, Bitcoin's scarcity is expected to grow in the long term.
This unique deflationary quality – unmatched by anything else – will further highlight Bitcoin’s role as a long-term investment, despite short-term fluctuations, as demand grows from the ancient supply.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/30-bitcoin-co-the-mai-mat-nam-2035/
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