💥 How could a potential war affect the price of #BTC ?
📈 1. Increase in price due to value refuge (short term)
In scenarios of global crisis or war, many investors flee from traditional assets (stocks, fiat currencies) and seek decentralized refuges like Bitcoin, gold, or the dollar.
BTC could experience a significant increase, being seen as an antifragile asset against collapsed or inflationary financial systems.
> 🟢 Historical example: In 2022, following the invasion of Ukraine, BTC momentarily rose as fears of instability intensified.
🔻 2. Drop due to capital outflow and fear (medium term)
If the conflict is prolonged, generating economic crises or massive sanctions, there could be a massive sell-off (panic selling) across all markets, including crypto.
BTC could drop alongside global stock markets if investors seek immediate liquidity.
🌐 3. Extreme volatility
BTC could enter a period of intense volatility, with abrupt rises followed by harsh corrections, depending on each military news, sanction, or international policy decision.
🏦 4. Change in the regulatory environment
In times of war, governments may tighten financial regulations, including the use of crypto, to prevent capital flight, illegal financing, or evasion.
This could temporarily limit adoption, although in the long term it would benefit decentralized systems.
📊 5. Possible acceleration of global adoption
If a war affects confidence in national currencies (as happened with the ruble or the lira), entire countries or populations could adopt BTC as a form of economic protection, boosting its real use.
