Bitcoin dropped 4–6% as Israel-Iran tensions rose, triggering $200B in crypto losses and a major bearish sentiment spike.
ETF inflows kept Bitcoin steady above $104K, as institutional buyers capitalized on war-driven volatility for long-term entries.
BTC surged to $108K alongside rising Israel-Iran mentions, showing how social fear and conflict can drive market upside moves.
The price of Bitcoin fell 4–6% between June 12 and June 15, wiping off almost $200 billion from the overall market capitalization of the global cryptocurrency universe. This was accomplished against the backdrop of heavily heightened bearish sentiment driven by rising Israeli-Iranian military tensions.
Increase in Sentiment and Social Volume Propels Market Shift
According to a post by Santiment, the traders reacted swiftly to the worsening of the conflict by entering risk-off mode. Social media fear was evident from June 12 to June 15, when sentiment measurements turned extremely pessimistic. This coincided with Bitcoin's decline from its peak, momentarily eroding investor confidence.
https://twitter.com/santimentfeed/status/1935375698828399046
A traditional pattern related to international crisis incidents was followed by Bitcoin. When the Israeli-Palestinian war turned into a ferocious crescendo in October 2022 and Russia launched an invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Bitcoin fell 5–7% only to recover. Market players seem to be reacting mechanically to the hypothesis that transient turmoil will give way to calmness.
ETF Inflows Provide Support During Unrest
Despite the initial selloff, Bitcoin remained in the $104K–$105K range during the period of tension. According to Santiment, consistent ETF inflows helped support the price floor. Institutional buyers appear to be treating geopolitical fear as an entry point for long-term positions.
Bitcoin’s price resilience reflects growing maturity in the crypto market. When military action failed to escalate further, confidence returned. ETF custody frameworks and regulated exposure gave traders additional confidence, minimizing panic-driven exits and reinforcing Bitcoin’s bullish macro trajectory.
Bitcoin Climbs from $70K to $108K as Tensions Rise
Between March 17 and June 18, Bitcoin rallied from under $68K to over $ 108 K. This surge occurred alongside rising social media discussion involving Israel and Iran. Social volume for Israel peaked at over 720 by June 17, while Iran mentions hit nearly 600.
The overlap between social metrics and price movement shows how macro risk is fueling Bitcoin speculation. Bitcoin has become a hedge and a beneficiary of market anxiety. As fear narratives grew, so did Bitcoin’s strength, pushing it to new all-time highs.
Traders Monitor Narrative Volume to Gauge Future Moves
By June 18, Bitcoin was consolidating just above $100K as conflict-related chatter stayed elevated. Traders closely tracked social dominance to forecast potential swings. Each narrative peak marked a surge in buying pressure, reinforcing Bitcoin’s role in risk navigation.
Bitcoin was mentioned more than 13 times during this window across key trader circles. This confirmed its rising use as a hedge and safe-haven asset. As geopolitical risks evolve, market participants remain focused on Bitcoin’s interaction with narrative volume and volatility.
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