📉 Current price: 104,835 USDT (+0.24%), moderate volume (~15.8 B USDT) according to the Binance chart in 8H timeframe.
In the last 24 hours, Bitcoin has fluctuated between 103,426 and 105,300 USDT, with interesting technical dynamics:
Narrow Bollinger Bands, suggesting an upcoming wave of volatility.
MACD in negative zone, with slight signs of stabilization, pointing to a possible bullish cross.
RSI at 42: slight rebound towards neutral zone, reflecting balance between buyers and sellers.
🌍 Macro context and relevant news
1. Technically speaking, indicators anticipate imminent volatility and possible strong movement — this compression precedes historic bull runs.
2. On a global level, Wall Street overreacted, triggering a possible 'rug pull' near 104k, but the big players are already listening to the market flow.
3. From the macroeconomic perspective, the Fed maintains a 'hawkish pause' stance on interest rates, generating caution among investors, although Bitcoin holds above 104k.
🔍 Strategic conclusion
Bitcoin is in a critical transition phase. The current consolidation pattern could trigger:
Bullish scenario: Clear breakout above 105.5k after compression and positive MACD → possible rally towards 110–112k.
Bearish scenario: Failure to defend 103–104k → risk of retracements towards 100k or even lower support levels.
The degree of realignment will depend on macroeconomic factors, institutional orders, and liquidity in the order book.
🧠 Your path as a professional trader
It's not about entering and crossing your fingers. It's about:
Monitor Bollinger Bands + MACD to confirm breakout.
Define clear stop-loss levels (ideally below 103k).
Leverage the compression and subsequent market explosion, without falling into liquidity traps.
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