In the last 10 years, the crypto space now has 1-2 more rounds of bull markets left, which is the last window period for ordinary people to turn around and make a comeback! Over these ten years, crypto has been the fastest path for ordinary people to turn the tables. It is also one of the few channels that allow you to exchange time and knowledge for financial freedom. But you must be clear that this opportunity won’t last forever. In another ten years, it will become a stable, class-solidified "ordinary market" like the stock market. This means that there are only 1-2 rounds of bull markets left, which is the last window period for ordinary people. However, being an “ordinary person” comes with prerequisites. It is someone with continuous learning ability; a person with long-term cognitive accumulation; someone who has been waiting for the "turnaround opportunity". In fact, you will find that such people are mostly not ordinary. Those who can really turn the tables in crypto are the very few with advanced cognition. In less than two years, I turned 200,000 into over 5 million; my trading strategy is simple and practical, equally applicable to everyone. Today, I will share my method with you, take a few minutes to study seriously, and if it doesn’t help you, feel free to say whatever you want!
Add image caption, no more than 140 words (optional) To survive in the crypto space, especially for small capital players, one must avoid pitfalls, catch the main rise, and control risks. The following rules have been verified by countless people in actual combat, each one painfully clear: Don’t fantasize about doubling your money every day; the way out for small capital is to catch one main rise each year. Once fully invested, if the market goes wrong, the account will be wiped out. The truly skilled are those who understand that "surviving" is more important than "getting it right once". The first step upon entering is not to invest money, but to practice. A simulated account can lose hundreds of times without regret; in a real account, one liquidation means exit. First, practice your eyesight, then go to the table, don’t treat your principal as tuition. Heard good news? Don’t get excited; others have already set up in front of you. A high open is often not an opportunity but a trap. Especially on the day good news is released and the next day when it surges, the smart choose to exit decisively. A week before holidays, those who can exit completely are experts. Historical experience tells us that most institutions will harvest before holidays, and new retail investors are always caught during holidays. The only way to safely celebrate is to clear positions before the holiday. For medium to long-term positions, remember to keep 30% cash on hand, sell a portion on a rise, and buy back on a sharp drop, repeatedly rolling positions, slowly turning small capital into large, not seeking to get rich quickly, just seeking stable growth. For short-term trading, only focus on active coins. Those with plummeting volumes and chart patterns like "ECG" should not even be glanced at. Volatility is the soil of profit; coins without volatility are only suitable for sleep, not for trading. Real opportunities are often hidden after a "crash". The sharper the drop, the stronger the rebound. The key is not to rush in; use the 15-minute KDJ to catch turning points, don’t act early, don’t be greedy, earn what you should earn. Most importantly: admit when you are wrong. Cut losses decisively when breaking positions, don’t stubbornly resist the market. You can withstand it once, but not ten times; if the account explodes once, recovering may take a long time. Your principal is the only capital for your comeback. A final word for everyone who takes trading seriously: Don’t be greedy to learn a hundred techniques; what you really need to make a living is to master just 1-2 techniques. Candlestick + Volume? Enough to make you invincible in the market. Each profession has its own expertise; dabbling will only lead to being half-baked and harvested. If you are preparing to enter the crypto space, I sincerely hope this article can help you. As someone with decent summarizing abilities and expression, I believe my ideas may be helpful to you. The bloody password of a decade-old retail investor: Survive in the crypto battlefield with eight iron rules and three major laws. The essence of the market: Those who survive are anti-human players. Everyone knows this after ten years of crawling and rolling in the crypto space — this is not a casino, but a slaughterhouse of human nature. When you see your own greed, fear, and luck being made into sashimi by the big players in candlesticks, you will understand why 90% of retail investors do not last three years. The bloody truth: The number of liquidations in a bull market is three times that of a bear market (in the 2021 bull market, liquidation volume reached $150 billion). Eight institutions use algorithms to harvest emotions: When retail investors FOMO chase the rise, quantitative robots are shorting against them. The capital consumed during the horizontal consolidation period is greater than during a crash — boiling a frog in warm water is the ultimate killing move. Eight Iron Laws: Survival rules exchanged with real money. 1. The Self-Rescue Technique of Adding Positions: When trapped by the sweet trap of big players, averaging down is not wrong, but remember: adding positions is a tourniquet, not a charge. When BTC falls below the 60-day line, any averaging down is equivalent to supplying ammunition to the dog players. 9. Case: In March 2024, ETH fell below EMA99, and average losses for those adding positions were 37%. 8. 2. Horizontal Warning System: Countdown to Death before the Storm. BTC consolidated at $100,000 for 47 days before plummeting 22%, with a historical recurrence rate of 83%. 6. Technical Signal: When the 4-hour MACD sticks together for more than 5 days, reduce positions by 50% immediately. 8. 3. Quantum Mechanics of Taking Profits: Not locking in profits is equivalent to not making money. Every 30% profit must withdraw the principal; this is the ultimate armor against spikes. In May 2025, during a certain exchange outage, early withdrawers escaped a $420 million evaporation disaster. 7. 4. Retail Investor Sentiment Contrarian Indicator: The Auntie Index. When the square dance aunties start discussing NFTs, there are only 23 days left until collapse (verified at the peak of the bull market in November 2021). 57. Data: When the search volume for "Bitcoin" on WeChat exceeds 100 million, it is the best time to clear positions. 6. 5. Long-Short Double Kill Defense Technique: Hedge Black Swans with Options. Buy 10% positions of out-of-the-money put options, costing only 5%, but able to defend against nuclear shocks like CPI data. In September 2024, during the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike night, hedgers lost less than 58%. 8. Three Major Laws of Trend Trading: Crushing the market with institutional thinking. Size Cycle Resonance Combat. Weekly line determines life and death: BTC must stabilize above the EMA30 for it to be a true bull market; otherwise, it's just a rebound illusion. 84. Hourly chart to find buy points: When the hourly RSI bounces back three times at 30 without breaking, the win rate increases to 79%. 6. Classic Battle: In January 2025, ETH triggered a 4-hour golden cross at the weekly support level of $3400, surging 82% in 45 days. 7. Volume-Price Code Decoding Technique. Death Spike: When BTC's daily trading volume exceeds 200% of the monthly average, a pullback must happen within 3 days (validated in December 2024). 8. Main Force Accumulation Signal: Low volume horizontal consolidation + On-chain whale addresses increasing. In April 2025, SOL surged threefold due to this signal. 6. Moving Average Strangulation System: When the 5/30/60-day moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, any pullback is a buying opportunity. But remember: when the 5-day line crosses below the 30-day line, positions must be cleared within 3 seconds! In March 2025, LTC avoided a 34% drop due to this signal. 8. Three Realms of Mindfulness: Transformation from Gambler to Hunter. 1. Realm of Restraining Greed: Check the market only 3 times a day; delete the app for 3 days if profits exceed 50%. 2. Realm of Breaking Fear: Check on-chain data during a crash: when the Fear Index is <20 and whales are increasing positions, close your eyes and catch the knife. 8. Use a 5% position to open a reverse order to hedge emotional fluctuations. 3. Realm of Enlightenment: Establish your own "Three No Buy List" (do not touch coins outside the top 10 by market cap, do not touch if funding rates >0.1%, do not touch if daily turnover >200%). Engrave trading records into stone tablets: some big shot made his 2023 losses into an NFT to warn himself. 7. Ultimate Advice for Newbies. 1. Withdrawal equals victory. Withdraw 50% of profits every month; this is the Ark of Noah through the bull and bear markets. An anonymous trader relied on this rule, preserving $23 million in capital during the downturn of 2024-2025. 6. 2. Stay away from contract laws. The average lifespan of contract players is only 11 months. 8. If you must play, remember: Leverage = 100/Volatility (BTC's daily volatility is 3%, so leverage ≤33 times). 9. 3. Establish a Dark Forest awareness: Assume all good news is delayed bad news. Treat celebrities like Musk's calls as contrarian indicators. 7. When the community starts celebrating "this time is different", immediately initiate withdrawal procedures.
Add image caption, no more than 140 words (optional) Entering the crypto space has been 10 years. At the beginning, I lost a lot, had ups and downs in between, and now I rely on crypto for a living. I have summarized some experiences to share with everyone, hoping to help you. As long as you do it, it’s hard to lose. In terms of candlestick techniques: 1. Fibonacci sequence is useless. 2. When the price rises and breaks the previous mid-term high, the expected rise is likely the distance from the previous high to the low.
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3. After narrow fluctuations, there must be large fluctuations. Therefore, one can look for markets that have had large fluctuations in the past; when they are currently in narrow fluctuations, wait for the opportunity to explode. Similarly, after wide fluctuations, there often come narrow fluctuations. At this time, it is usually impossible to make money. 4. During a large upward trend within the day, the opening price and the lowest price rarely have a large difference. If there is a significant low opening that day, it’s best not to expect it to rise significantly by the end; the probability is low. In fact, in a genuine upward trend, the difference between the opening price and the lowest price is generally very small. If you expect it to rise that day and it opens significantly lower, you should exit immediately. 5. 1) Most market highs tend to occur on days that close at the day's highest price. 2) Most market lows tend to occur on days that close at the day's lowest price. In other words, after rising a distance, if a solid bullish candle appears, there is no need to be overly bullish; be cautious of an imminent top. After falling a distance, if a solid bearish candle appears, there is no need to be overly bearish; be cautious of an imminent bottom. Larry’s explanation is: the market won’t peak because of selling pressure; it peaks when no one is chasing the rise anymore. A solid bullish candle often indicates that those who wanted to buy have basically bought. This rule contradicts our usual experience; I still don’t know how accurate it is. Let’s consider it a warning. This contrarian thinking is worth learning. Short-term trading tips: 1. The shorter the trading cycle, the less money you make! 2. We can only make money on wide fluctuation days. On such days, the closing price often approaches the day’s highest and lowest prices. Therefore, holding until close is a good choice. It’s not wise to fidget back and forth during the day. 3. 1) Most rising wide fluctuation days see the opening price close to the lowest price, and the closing price close to the highest price. 2) Most falling wide fluctuation days see the opening price close to the highest price, and the closing price close to the lowest price. 4) The most profitable short-term strategy Larry used is: open a position, set a protective stop-loss, close it at the end of the day, or even later. No need to look during the day. 5) For entry methods, whether trend indicators or oscillators, they are not as effective as volatility breakouts. 6) The most suitable price for adjusting volatility by a certain percentage is the opening price, not the closing price or other prices. 7) Use the day’s opening price adjusted by a certain percentage of the daily volatility to determine breakout entry points; the effect is excellent. 8) How to define a trend? Larry uses the 20-day moving average compared to yesterday; if it’s higher than yesterday, it is defined as an uptrend. 9) Short-term traders use filters, which can significantly improve performance. Those who want to seize every opportunity often end up with nothing. Those who patiently select opportunities often profit the most. 10) If there are three consecutive down days, then buy at the open on the fourth day and close at the end; the accuracy rate is as high as 58%! 11) Good short-term trading patterns all have a common feature: they use extreme market sentiment to open positions when prices run in reverse. The logic is: when it should fall but doesn’t, be bullish; when it should rise but doesn’t, be bearish. 12) Outside candles reverse. In traditional theory, a very bearish outside dark candle (where the highest price is higher than the previous day’s highest price, and the lowest price is lower than the previous day’s lowest price, completely engulfing the previous day’s candle) opens low today, buy in. The accuracy rate is as high as 80%! And the profit space is substantial.
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13. Two types of attack day patterns. The first type: if yesterday's closing price is lower than the day before the lowest price, it is a very bearish pattern; if today rises above yesterday's highest price, then go long. The logic remains: when it should rise but doesn't, be bearish; when it should fall but doesn't, be bullish.
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Shorting, conversely. If yesterday's closing price is higher than the day before's highest price, it is a very bullish pattern; if today drops below yesterday's lowest price, then short. 14. The second type of attack day pattern. Yesterday had an increase, but the closing price is lower than the opening price, and it is a long upper shadow, indicating a top bearish pattern; if today breaks above yesterday's highest price, then go long.
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Conversely, if there was a drop yesterday, but the closing price is higher than the opening price and it is a long lower shadow, it is a bottoming bullish pattern; if today drops below yesterday's lowest price, then short.
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15. Failed breakout. When breaking above previous resistance levels, if subsequently within 1-3 candlesticks, it falls below the lowest price, then short.
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Conversely, when breaking below previous support levels, if subsequently within 3 candlesticks it rises above the highest price, then long.
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This failed breakout opening method applies not only to daily charts but also to hourly and minute charts. 16. Gap filling. For example, when opening high today and above yesterday's highest price, if it subsequently falls below yesterday's highest price, then short. The opposite for going long: if opening low today and below yesterday's lowest price, if it subsequently rises above yesterday's lowest price, then go long. This method also appeared in (Short-term Trading Master — Precise Buy and Sell Points). And Jack Bernstein recognized Larry Williams; the masters' opinions are consistent!
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17. All these techniques must be used in conjunction with the market conditions at the time and cannot be used mechanically. People cannot profit from short-term trading with a mechanical system. 18. The most useful data comes from the previous 1-4 days. 19. Short-term traders only need to do one thing: follow the current market trend. Any attempts to predict tops and bottoms are foolish. 20. Study historical trades and analyze price charts; these are essential courses for becoming a successful trader. 21. Regarding capital management. The Kelly formula has issues; it is too aggressive. Because consecutive losses happen often. The optimal method is to limit single trade risk to no more than 2% or 1%. 22. The truth about making money: Buy at new highs, sell at new lows.
Add image caption, no more than 140 words (optional) Top Ten Anti-Humanity Iron Laws in Crypto: Use "Reverse Thinking" to Harvest 90% of Retail Investors (Survival rules learned after 5 liquidations, the 7th rule increased my win rate by 80%) Iron Law 1: Withdraw after profit peaks Anti-Human Operation: After continuous profits, forcibly remain in cash for 3 days Blood Cases: In December 2023, a trader made 300% profit on SOL and continued trading, losing all profits in a week Data Support: Statistics show that traders who immediately trade after profits, 78% will incur losses on the next transaction Iron Law 2: Three days of losses triggers a circuit breaker Death Loop: Loss → Eager to recover → Greater losses (standard path to liquidation) Professional Practice: Set an "Emotional Cooling Period", stop trading immediately if losses reach 3% of the principal for 24 hours Anti-Human Skill: Delete trading app on the day of losses to physically isolate from trading impulses Iron Law 3: In a divergent market, remain motionless Market Truth: When the long-short ratio is 55-45, the probability of a spike increases by 300%
Anti-Human Signal:
Long-short ratio of exchange between 45%-55%
Opinions of influential Twitter figures are severely opposed
The hourly chart has dense upper and lower shadows Iron Law 4: A 5% high open = "Inviting you into the trap" Script of the Big Players: Violently pump in the early session to attract followers, then dump at 10:30 to harvest
Counterattack Strategy:
Wait for pullback after a high open of more than 3%
Consider after breaking the previous high and stabilizing for 15 minutes Iron Law 5: High volume at high levels = Death Charge Technical Scam: True Breakout: Gentle increase in volume False Breakout: Sudden massive volume (selling signal)
Anti-Human Indicator:
Volume > 3 times the daily average and price stagnation
Large orders concentrated on the sell side Iron Law 6: Buy panic in a weak market, buy consensus in a strong market Cycle Rule: Market Status Typical Case Unilateral decline Buy back in batches with bleeding chips In 2022, BTC bottomed out at $16,000 and unilaterally rose Leading coins pull back to the 5-day line In 2023, ORDI had a tenfold market Iron Law 7: Adding positions = Chronic suicide Fatal Misunderstanding: "Diluting cost" is the most expensive lie
Mathematical Truth:
10% loss → Need 11% profit to break even
50% loss → Need 100% profit to break even Anti-Human Formula: Never add positions on losing trades, only add positions by 5% on profitable trades Iron Law 8: Only eat "profits within the model" Cognitive Trap: Missed the surging coin → Anxiety → Chaotic trading Caught a meme coin → Inflation → Overtrading
Professional Discipline:
Define trading patterns in writing in advance (e.g., only trade BTC daily breakouts)
Monthly trading ≤ 5 times Iron Law 9: Right-side traders live forever; left-side traders die. Case: "It has fallen so much, it should rebound" → Catching knives. "It has already halved, it can't drop further" → Ankle cuts.
Anti-Human Buying Point:
Breakthrough key resistance level and pullback
First time standing above the 30-day moving average during a downtrend. Iron Law 10: Trend is your only boss. Human nature weakness: "Bottom-fishing" during a downtrend (against the trend) and "shorting" during an uptrend (fear of heights).
:
Monthly line above MA5 → only go long
Weekly line below MA30 → only go short. Ultimate Survival Guide: Print ten $100 bills and stick them to the computer screen. Before each order, ask: Which iron law does this operation violate? Withdraw 10% immediately if monthly profits exceed 20%. Remember: the essence of making money in crypto is "picking up the money when others make mistakes." The more these 10 iron laws violate human nature, the higher the probability of making money. Now! Right now! Set the 7th law as your phone wallpaper.
Add image caption, no more than 140 words (optional) Developing these trading habits can save your life! Always set stop-losses when opening positions; this is an iron law! Trading contracts without stop-losses is like directly giving money to the dog players; why bother? Do not harbor the slightest hope when holding positions! You might withstand it nine times and feel great, but if you fail just once, you will lose everything! In reality, there are many such people! Maintain a good mindset, and don't get too emotional! If you lose money, don’t rush to recover it with a flurry of trades. I’ve seen too many people panic when they lose money, going on a crazy trading spree, resulting in their assets being wiped out overnight. This goes back to what was said earlier: think about your stop-loss before opening a position, know your maximum loss, and if the stop-loss is triggered, relax, adjust your state and look for opportunities again; don’t let emotions lead you by the nose! Don’t be too subjective; the market doesn’t move according to your thoughts! If you understand technical analysis, that’s good; if you don’t, just don’t jump to conclusions! There are always people who think, “This must drop; the big players are pulling up to lure in more buyers.” “There are so many good news, it must rise, just hold on.” Isn’t that just one-track thinking? The market changes rapidly; how can you rely solely on "I think" and "I believe"? If you’re wrong, admit it quickly, adjust your thinking promptly, and don’t stubbornly hold on!
Give roses to others, and your hands will have residual fragrance. Thank you for your likes, follows, and shares! Wishing everyone wealth freedom in 2025! Playing in the crypto space is essentially a battle between retail investors and big players. If you don’t have cutting-edge news or firsthand information, you can only be harvested! If you want to layout together and harvest the big players, you can come (Public Account: Brother Hao Talks About Crypto). Welcome like-minded crypto people to discuss together~ The martial arts secrets have already been given to everyone; whether you can become famous in the Jianghu depends on yourself.