ETC

Solana (SOL) faces near-term headwinds but technical confluence and institutional developments signal potential breakout toward $200 target
Despite a 2% drop in the last 24 hours, Solana $SOL is still trading above the important $145 support level. This shows that the cryptocurrency market is still unsure about what will happen next, as investors wait for better instructions from the Federal Reserve and a resolution of macro turmoil. The SOL token hasn’t been able to keep up its pace since it was turned down at $158 earlier this week, but a combination of technical and fundamental factors suggests that the network is getting ready for its next big rise.
SOL/USD Technical Analysis Points to Critical Inflection Point
Solana is at a very important point from a technical point of view. There are many support confluences that are generating what experts call a “coiling” pattern, which usually comes before a big increase in volatility. Three important technical levels are now protecting the token: the anchored VWAP from the cycle low, the created $143 daily support zone, and a group of previous swing lows that make up a strong demand region.
But since there hasn’t been any clear follow-through in either way, dealers say that SOL is in “no man’s land.” The latest decrease from $158 to $143, which was a 14% drop in a week, made bulls worry that the token would not be able to go back to the psychologically crucial $200 level. The financing rates for SOL perpetual futures have dropped to 0%, which is bad news for the market. This shows that more people want to take short positions and that there hasn’t been much interest in leveraged long bets in the past three months.
Solana Network Activity Stagnation Weighs on Sentiment
The price pressure on Solana is a worrying trend in the basics of the network. The total value locked (TVL) on Solana has stayed about the same at $10 billion. However, the weekly revenue from decentralized applications has dropped a lot, from over $100 million per week between November and February to less than $40 million now. The 60% drop in DApp revenue shows that people are losing interest in trading memecoins, which used to be a big part of the network’s activity.
The current memecoin craze, especially after the Official Trump token was released on Solana, led to unrealistic expectations that the market is now fixing. Jupiter volumes are still the most important part of Solana’s DEX flow, but they have cooled off from their fever highs. Kamino v2 has brought in $230 million in new deposits, and Drift has brought in around $1 billion in total deposits.
Infrastructure Developments Signal Long-Term Strength
Even if things are tough right now, Solana’s infrastructure is nevertheless growing quickly with a lot of support from institutions. Coinbase’s full validator performance report shows that there have been big improvements since they moved to bare metal infrastructure. Their skip rate is at 0.05%, which is much lower than the network average. The exchange now handles 10.6% of all staked SOL across six nations. This shows that institutions are becoming more confident in the network’s long-term stability.
Solana is better able to withstand network attacks because it is adding advanced client diversity with Jito, Paladin, and the planned Frankendancer integration. The integration with DoubleZero’s fiber-based backbone should also help with latency problems that have previously kept validators in European data centers. This could make geographic decentralization easier.
Solana ETF Approval and Tokenization Catalysts on Horizon
There are three main catalysts that market observers think might push SOL near the $200 target, even though it is having technical problems right now. The SEC’s possible approval of a Solana spot ETF is the most important short-term catalyst, since regulatory mood seems to be becoming better. Second, the increasing use of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) on Solana’s blockchain could create lasting demand that goes beyond just trading for fun.
Third, more and more institutions are using protocols like Maple and Apollo to get access to real-world private credit using syrupUSDC and sACRED tokens. Cantor Fitzgerald analysts said that Solana is “meaningfully better than Ethereum across every metric.” They expect more companies to use it and point out that the network has higher developer growth and operational efficiency.
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