📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/06/19)
At a critical level of tug-of-war between bulls and bears, BTC is consolidating between the daily trend line and weekly resistance. Short-term fluctuations are expected to intensify, watch for breakout direction!
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【Period】1D
Trend: Bullish consolidation, price oscillating between the 10-day moving average (approximately 105,689) and the 50-day moving average (approximately 103,142), forming a triangular consolidation at the daily trend line. If it closes above the 20-day moving average (approximately 105,775) for two consecutive days, bullish continuation can be confirmed, otherwise, oscillation will continue.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 100,372 (loss of support turns bearish)
🟢 Add Long: 103,367✅ (touched intraday and rebounded) / 102,546
🚀 Breakout to Add Long: 110,531
🎯 Take Profit: 116,807 / 126,965 / 137,123
【Period】4H
Trend: Bearish consolidation, current price has fallen below the 20/50 moving averages and is under pressure from the 200EMA (approximately 104,374), short-term may accelerate downward after being compressed at the lower Bollinger Band.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 108,953 (breakout can go long)
🟢 Add Short: 105,928 / 106,820 / 107,757
🚨 Breakdown to Add Short: 102,664
🎯 Take Profit: 99,921 / 94,340 / 88,759
【Period】1H
Trend: Bearish signs emerging, MACD dead cross below the zero line, RSI neutral leaning down. If it breaks below the 1H upward trend line (approximately 104,800) and loses the 10/20EMA, it may accelerate downward; otherwise, a short-term rebound may occur.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Conservative Move Stop Loss: 105,551 (breakout can go long)
🟢 Medium Risk Add Short: 105,135✅
🚨 Breakdown to Add Short: 103,500 / 103,371
🎯 Take Profit: 104,362✅ / 101,525 / 98,688
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【Strategy Summary】
BTC is in triangular consolidation on the daily chart, with key support at the 50-day moving average (approximately 103,142) and the upward trend line. If it closes above the 20-day moving average (approximately 105,775) for two consecutive days, it can trigger a medium-term long position, with a stop loss set at 100,372; if it breaks below 104,000, it is recommended to short near the 200EMA (approximately 104,374) on the 4H level, with the first target at 99,921, and a re-test of 96,000. On the 1H level, combine the trend line and EMA confirmation for adding short, and pay attention to the volume increase to enhance the win rate. It is recommended to control each position to be within 10% of the total capital and use an automatic copy trading system to reduce emotional interference.
