šØš¢Hereās an integrated view of how the IranāIsrael conflict, which erupted on June 13, 2025, has played out across marketsāand why U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have nonetheless attracted steady inflows:
Geopolitical backdrop and market jitters
Tensions flared when Israel launched strikes against Iranian targets on June 13, triggering fears of a wider regional conflagration. Observers pointed to the potential for oilāsupply disruptionsāespecially given Iranās role as a major crude exporterābut global markets have so far priced in only a moderate risk premium. Crude oil jumped roughly 14 percent in the week to June 18 as traders weighed the threat of broader Middle East escalation, yet prices remained below $75/barrel, suggesting that worst-case scenarios have not been fully baked in ļæ¼ ļæ¼. Equities likewise showed remarkable resilience: U.S. stocks held near record highs even as Trump warned of further strikes and talked of evacuations in Tehran ļæ¼.
Bitcoinās safe-haven narrative amid conflict
With goldās safe-haven mantle well established, many investors are now debating whether Bitcoin might serve a similar role in an age of digital finance. Recent data show Bitcoin hovering above $105 000 despite the warāits relative stability underscoring a growing view of it as ādigital goldā rather than a purely speculative asset ļæ¼ ļæ¼. Academic and market-research voices note that, while Bitcoin can be volatile, its decentralized nature and finite supply often attract capital when traditional channels seem under threat.
Steady inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs
Rather than pulling back, institutional investors have poured money into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs throughout this period:
ā¢ June 13 (day the war began): Net inflow of $322.6 million ļæ¼
ā¢ June 16: Another $412.2 million in net inflows, extending a six-day streak and lifting cumulative ETF inflows since June 9 to over $1.8 billion.
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