The information released by the latest Federal Reserve meeting decision.
1. Maintain interest rates unchanged, no rate cut for now.
2. Two more rate cuts are expected within the year, reducing by 50 basis points.
Trump reacted to the news of no rate cut by saying he should go to the Federal Reserve.
In my personal opinion, the Federal Reserve entered a rate-cutting cycle last year, and the purpose of the cut at that time was preemptive.
This year's pace has slowed down slightly, indicating that the fundamentals are not a problem. It has been statistically noted that the Federal Reserve cuts rates in three scenarios.
1. Preemptive rate cuts.
2. A sharp decline in the U.S. stock market.
3. Real economic problems.
Currently, none of the three conditions match, so it is normal for the pace to slow. The expectation is that there might still be two rate cuts, but in reality, as time drags on, the expectation is now at 9.
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