๐บ๐ธ๐ #macro Powell โ Key Remarks:
- Inflation remains above target (2%), especially due to recent tariffs.
- Tariffs could have a more persistent impact on inflation and economic activity.
- Short-term inflation is expected to rise over the summer, driven by goods prices.
- Labor market remains stable; no signs of weakness requiring immediate rate cuts.
- Fed policy is moderately restrictive, and the current stance allows flexibility.
- No urgency to cut rates โ the Fed prefers to wait for more data before acting.
- Rate cut decisions will depend on real economic data, not forecasts.
- Fed is open to adjusting rates later, but sees no strong case for a move now.