TRUMP Plunge Warning! Short-term Shorting Opportunity, Risks and Opportunities Coexist
Current TRUMP Price 9.37, Weak Consolidation. 24-hour Drop 1.58%, Trading Volume is Low (Ratio 0.35), Market Sentiment is Weak. Suggested Short Selling: Entry 9.50, Stop Loss 9.60, Target 8.80, Profit and Loss Ratio 7. Risk: If Key Support 8.80 is Broken, or if There is Insufficient Liquidity, Strategy May Fail.
Technical Analysis
• Price Status: Bollinger Band Position 55.35% (Upper Middle Band), Indicates Weak Rebound; MA200 Deviation -7.01%, Holding Cost Deviation -6.01%, Both Higher than Current Price, Confirming Weakness.
• Market Strength: 24h Trading Volume Ratio 0.35 (Below Average), Price Drop with Decreased Volume, Indicating Main Force is Watching; Open Interest Slightly Increased by 0.11% (1h), but Long-term Capital is Exiting (7-day Net Outflow -5.40m), Smart Money Long/Short Ratio Decreased to 1.4450, Bears are Dominating; No Major News, Market has Digested Negative Sentiment.
• Key Support/Resistance: Support 8.80 (Buyer Liquidity 408,806 USDT), 8.00 (296,144 USDT); Resistance 9.50 (Near Bollinger Upper Band), 10.50 (Seller 274,505 USDT). Buy/Sell Pressure Ratio 1.0019 (Balanced), but Near Zone Buy Orders More 132,902.8, Liquidity Gap at 10.5-11.2 May Trigger a Sudden Change.
Market Cycle Analysis
Currently in Mid-Bear Market, Price Continues to Decline (2-day -4.55%, 7-day -12.41%), Downward Trend Remains Unchanged.
Trading Strategy
• Entry Point: 9.50 (Aggressive Short Position, Resistance Level Test Failure)
• Stop Loss Point: 9.60 (Breakthrough Bollinger Upper Band)
• Target Price: 8.80 (Strong Support Area)
• Profit and Loss Ratio: 7
Risk Warning
• Market Risk: Open Interest Slightly Increased but Capital Exiting, If Macroeconomic Events (e.g., Policy Changes) or Support Breaks Below 8.80, Accelerated Decline May Occur.
• Strategy Failure: Price Breaks Above 9.60 or Trading Volume Spikes.
• Operation Suggestion: Single Trade Risk ≤ Total Capital 2%; Avoid Low Liquidity Periods (e.g., Asian Early Trading Session).
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