Here is a summary of the US Federal Reserve (FOMC) meeting - June 2025:
📅 Meeting Date:
June 17–18, 2025
Decision Announcement: June 18, 2 PM New York Time
Press Conference with Jerome Powell: 2:30 PM
📌 What to Expect?
Interest Rate:
The interest rate is likely to remain at 4.25%–4.50%.
No new hikes are expected, with a hint of a possible single cut in late 2025.
Economic Forecasts:
Ongoing concern about inflation due to geopolitical tensions (such as oil prices and tariffs).
Signs of a slowdown in employment and spending, but no confirmation of economic deterioration.
Markets:
Markets expect the first potential rate cut in September 2025.
Powell's Anticipated Message:
Emphasis on a "wait-and-see" policy.
Focus on economic data, trade risks, and inflation.
✅ Summary:
The Fed will keep interest rates unchanged, indicating only one likely cut this year. Markets are awaiting a clear signal from Powell about the timing of the first cut—and it is most likely to be in September if inflationary pressures ease.