$HYPE LTF Analysis

After failing to reclaim the 7D VWAP (41.6) and rolling over below the dWeek VAL (39.6), HYPE is showing continuation to the downside. Attempts to hold the pWeek VWAP (40.3) were rejected with high volume absorption followed by weakness into session close.

Structure:

Price accepted below key VWAP cluster (7D/30D/pWeek) now acting as resistance.

dMonth VWAP (38.5) currently getting tested, with weak bounce structure.

Next HTF level of interest: 31–29.5 zone, also a prior breakout base and session imbalance.

Momentum & Flow:

Volume accelerating into breakdown.

Lack of responsive bids above 40 indicates seller control.

Z-score volume confirms expansion phase after multi-day compression.

Scenario Planning:

Base Case: Acceptance below dMonth VWAP opens flush into 36 and eventually pMonth VWAP.

Alternative: Only reclaim of 7D VWAP + 41.6 opens short squeeze back into 42.7–43.6.

Line in the Sand:

Bearish LIS: 40.3 (pWeek VWAP)

Bullish LIS: 41.6 (VWAP stack reclaim)

Summary:

$HYPE rotating lower under key VWAP stack. Would only flip short-term bullish on a clean reclaim above 41.6. Until then, rallies into VWAPs likely to be sold into. Next downside magnet sits at 35.2–34.6.