$BTC This is the calm before the storm!
Choking oscillation range: Price stuck at 104500-105000 for over 6 hours, MA7 and MA30 dual lines suppressing. The rebound is unable to break above 105000.
Volume warning: Hourly trading volume falls below 15K, the market is stuck waiting for a turning point at 2 AM.
Absolute resistance level: There are large undisclosed sell orders in the 108900 area (the main force is deliberately hiding orders).
Bullish lifeline: 104500. Breaking this level triggers programmed selling → risk area at 103000.
Bearish defense line: 105000. Tested 3 times intraday without breaking. A breakthrough opens up rebound space.
Market watershed: Confirmation of dovish signals requires stabilization above 105200; hawkish attacks will test 103800.
Pending orders:
104900 short position, strict stop loss at 105150.
103900 long position, strict stop loss at 103600.
After Powell's speech: Price breaks above 105200 → chase long target at 106000; price falls below 104000 → chase short target at 103300.
Current market shows commission ratio +0.84%, sell orders > buy orders, short positions are dominant in the short term.
Final warning: Between 2:05-2:15 AM, abandon all technical indicators, closely watch the price breakout direction to chase orders. Setting stop losses in advance is the only life-saving rule!
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