๐๏ธDate -June 18,2025
๐ Key Changes vs Previous
๐ Price: $0.16842 (-1.77% from $0.17420) โ broke below critical $0.17000 support
๐ Volume: 258M โ59% vs 5-day avg (634M) โ no capitulation volume
โ ๏ธ RSI: 22.30 (prev: 31.18) โ most oversold in history
๐งจ MACD: Bearish acceleration (Histogram: -0.00176 vs -0.00146)
๐ป Breakdown: Lost psychological support of $0.17000 and approaches 24h low ($0.16851)
๐ Key Metrics
๐ฐ Current Price: $0.16842
๐ EMAs:
EMA(7): $0.17508 โ Resistance
EMA(25): $0.18840 โ Resistance
EMA(99): $0.20119 โ Resistance
๐ RSI(6): 22.30 (historically oversold)
๐งพ MACD:
DIF: -0.00902
DEA: -0.00726
Histogram: -0.00176 ๐ป
๐ Support/Resistance Levels:
๐ผ Resistance: $0.17508 โ $0.19290
๐ฝ Support: $0.16842 โ $0.15019 โ $0.14471
๐ Technical Analysis Highlights
๐ Oversold Panic: RSI 22.30 = bottom 0.01% in DOGE history
๐จ Breakdown: $0.17000 psychological support gone
๐ Weak Volume: -59% vs avg = no climax selling yet
๐ EMA Abandonment:
Price is:
3.8% < EMA(7)
17% < EMA(25)
๐ MACD Deterioration: Momentum weakening fast
๐ Price Prediction
๐ Next 12โ24 Hours
Base Case (90%): Breakdown โฌ๏ธ $0.16800 โ $0.16500 โ $0.16000
Bull Case (10%): RSI bounce โฌ๏ธ to $0.17508 (EMA 7)
๐๏ธ 3-Day Outlook
โ Close < $0.16500 โ targets $0.15019
โ Break above $0.17508 โ relief rally possible
๐ Trade Plan
๐น Intraday Plays (4โ6h)
๐งจ Breakdown Short
Entry: $0.16750
Target: $0.16500 โ $0.16200
SL: $0.16880
Trigger: Volume >300M
๐ฏ Mean Reversion Long (High Risk)
Entry: $0.16800
Target: $0.17000 โ $0.17200
SL: $0.16700
Confirmation: 15m RSI >25
๐ธ Swing Plays (2โ3 Days)
๐ Trend Short (Failed Bounce)
Entry: $0.17200
Target: $0.16800 โ $0.16500
SL: $0.17350
๐ง Liquidity Hunt Long
Entry: $0.15000
Target: $0.16000 โ $0.16500
SL: $0.14900
Trigger: 4h volume spike >500M
โ๏ธ Risk Management
๐ผ Position Size: โค0.5% of capital
โ Take Profit:
Shorts: 50% at $0.16500, 50% at $0.16200
Longs: 100% at $0.17000
๐ Stop Loss: Max 0.3% capital per trade
๐ฆ Critical Triggers
- ๐ป BEARISH CATASTROPHE: ! Breakdown below $0.16800 ! RSI <20 sustained ! Volume < $100M ! MACD histogram < -0.00200 + ๐ข BULLISH REVERSAL SIGNS: ! Close above $0.17508 (EMA 7) ! RSI >30 with bullish divergence ! Volume >$200M ! Bullish engulfing candle
๐ง Summary
DOGE/USDT is in full capitulation mode:
๐ฅ RSI at record-low 22.30
๐ฅ Breakdown of $0.17000 = panic territory
โ ๏ธ Danger zone: below $0.16800 opens $0.16000 โ $0.15000
๐ Meme coins = casino volatility โ ultra-tight risk needed
๐ก Best Opportunities:
Breakdown Short: $0.16750 โ $0.16500
Scalp Long: $0.16800 โ $0.17000 (only with RSI confirmation)
Liquidity Long: $0.15000 โ $0.16500
๐ Nuclear Warning: RSI 22.30 = rare death spiral zone. Expect 10โ30% swings. Only for experienced traders with discipline. Don't YOLO.
Take Trade From here ๐ $DOGE
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