Quinten evaluates the current situation as a buying opportunity by referencing past examples of COVID and other market declines. On the other hand, Poppe believes that the decline is due to the hours leading up to the Fed’s upcoming announcements. The Bank of Canada does not expect the tariff crisis to prolong or intensify.

With hours left until the Fed meeting and the US's formal involvement in the war, the next 24 hours mark a critical period for cryptocurrency markets. Cryptocurrencies have experienced declines due to the impact of surprise developments throughout the year. The expectation that tariffs are about to be resolved has given way to uncertainty due to concerns about hot war, negatively affecting crypto assets.

Iran is one of the world's largest oil exporters, and the targeting of its important facilities threatens global oil supply. Due to the embargo, a large part of Iran's oil sales is made to China, while the risk of war drives oil prices up. Rising oil prices due to tariffs further burden global inflation, weakening the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the US and other central banks.

As a result, all these developments indirectly affect the cryptocurrency markets. Cryptocurrencies are still negatively affected by uncertainty in the markets as they are valued like technology stocks. The risk is significant in the short term; the Fed's interest rate decision to be announced tomorrow, 1-3 year interest projections, and Powell’s statements are increasing the unease in the market.

Quinten argues that this short-term panic environment is a buying opportunity in the long run. According to him, similar situations have occurred in the past:

COVID Crash (March 2020): Bitcoin fell from $104,900 to $3,850.

Russia-Ukraine War (February 2022): Bitcoin fell to $34,300.

Israel-Palestine Crisis (October 7, 2023): Bitcoin dropped to $27,500.

Quinten's summary is as follows: "Short-term panic is a long-term opportunity."

Poppe states that the main reason for the decline is not the war, but the approach to the Fed meeting, and that this is normal for the market.

"Liquidity is being withdrawn from these areas, so it is possible for prices to drop a bit more. However, this is the area that needs to be addressed; because the real turnaround starts here. The FOMC meeting usually sees a bottom formed a day before."

Another issue closely followed by crypto investors is tariffs. The latest minutes released by the Bank of Canada support the expectation that the tariff crisis will not last long. After the minutes were published, the price of Bitcoin regained the $104,000 level.

The minutes included the following statements:

The Board of the Bank of Canada is optimistic based on strong business investments in the first quarter before the interest rate decision on June 4, but acknowledges that this could be temporary.

Committee members believe that the likelihood of the global trade war continuing in a long and violent manner is low.

It is expected that the increase in exports will quickly slow down due to customs duties and uncertainty.

It is emphasized that fundamental inflationary pressures may persist for a long time as consumers and businesses adapt to the reshaping of global trade.

Members agree that supply chain disruptions contribute to cost increases and inflation in goods prices; however, the direct impact of retaliatory tariffs is still not clear.


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