So this is the task for one point, and I’ll give it without pretending it’s a formula. I don’t trade to teach, I don’t follow clean systems, and I rarely do what I’m supposed to. Most of the time, my trading style is built around hesitation. I watch the same setups too long, question the entries, then miss the exits. When I’m not overthinking, I’m second-guessing; when I’m not second-guessing, I’m doing nothing at all. That’s not strategy, that’s just how it works.
What I actually watch is BTC dominance, DXY, Spot ETF inflows, and a few structural patterns that come back again and again, even when they show up dressed in a new narrative. It’s less about clean candle formations or fib levels, more about mapping where money rotates when macro pressure shifts. BTC dominance tells you where the risk sits inside crypto. DXY shows you where it sits globally. Spot ETF inflows are now the closest thing we have to institutional heartbeat. When they pause, the whole market hesitates.
The entire structure leans on U.S. economic data. CPI, PPI, jobless claims, bond auctions, forward guidance: these are the events that shape positioning. Volatility doesn’t emerge from crypto itself anymore; it responds to external policy tension and liquidity conditions. You see it in how gold twitches before a Powell press conference or how yields jump on a bad auction. Bonds get nervous, capital moves. That’s when Bitcoin breathes.
People talk about sentiment like it’s some kind of standalone signal, but it’s usually just macro fatigue with a lag. Funding flips after the fact. Long-short ratios spike on confirmation. The conviction shows up late, and usually in the wrong direction. What looks like confidence is often just late positioning reacting to signals that already played out.
Some days I trade price. Some days I trade the way people react to price. Some days I do nothing, either because the move already happened or because there was never enough structure to begin with. I check the same chart ten times, ignore the clearest signal, and when the move finally comes, I tell myself I wasn’t planning to enter anyway. That’s how I stay flat. Sometimes that’s how I stay solvent. Risk management, most days, is not opening the app when I know I’d force a setup that isn’t there.
The indicators I use are basic for a reason. RSI when it diverges (especially across multiple timeframes), BOLL when the squeeze is clean and the volume profile isn’t lying, MACD only when the histogram starts shrinking after momentum already topped out. I don’t trade indicators by themselves; they only work when they match what the flow and the structure are already suggesting. Entries without pressure are fake. Exits without tension are soft.
I don’t scalp. I don’t marry coins. I don’t narrate every candle like it means something. I try to avoid the same setups that burned me last quarter and the same narratives that sounded smart but only worked once.
So yes, I BOLL. I look for reason in RSI. Sometimes I wait for MACD to go quiet, not loud. But more often than not, I miss the move entirely, and the best decision left is to buy the dip with perspective and touch grass. That’s my trading style: no alpha myth, no romantic backtest, just trying not to get erased while everyone else rewrites their memory to fit the chart.