Tomorrow evening, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, and everyone can take note of this news. Although Powell's speech is highly likely to maintain the 4.5% rate, if there are signals of rate cuts or quantitative easing, it will drive BTC and ETH to surge; conversely, if he emphasizes delaying rate cuts or stubborn inflation, it may trigger a sell-off.
It is important to distinguish whether the stance is dovish (bullish) or hawkish (bearish), with key time points being the interest rate decision announcement at 22:00 Beijing time and Powell's press conference at 22:30 — these will be peak volatility times.
Pay attention to the U.S. stock market (especially the Nasdaq) and the U.S. dollar index (DXY), as if the U.S. stock market rebounds and the dollar weakens, the likelihood of the cryptocurrency market following suit is high.
In summary: Keep a close eye on Powell and respond flexibly to volatility. This interest rate meeting is about "expectation games" rather than "data games"; the tone of policy is more important than the interest rate outcome. In the short term, if dovish, BTC/ETH will quickly surge; if hawkish, a pullback presents a buying opportunity.
#美联储FOMC会议
