Overview of JD.com's core impact on cryptocurrency entry

  1. Major players entering the market compliantly

    • JD.com plans to apply for licenses in major economies such as the US, Europe, and Hong Kong to issue stablecoins pegged to the Hong Kong dollar/US dollar.

    • Goal: To reduce the high costs of cross-border payments by 90% and address the pain points of low efficiency, initially penetrating the B-end before the C-end.

  2. Impact on the existing market structure

    • Challenging the status of USDT: Leveraging JD.com's e-commerce ecosystem and compliance advantages to divert institutional users.

    • The race among major players begins: Ant Group is simultaneously advancing multi-currency stablecoins, with Tencent and Amazon likely to follow, squeezing the survival space of smaller issuers.

  3. Accelerating mainstream financial integration

    • Institutional adoption: Promoting companies to use stablecoins for supply chain settlements instead of SWIFT, increasing DeFi liquidity.

    • Regulatory template: The (Stablecoin Regulations) effective in Hong Kong in August 2025 may set a global standard of 100% reserves + quarterly audits.

  4. Key Risks

    • Regulatory game: The US SEC plans to bring stablecoins under securities regulation, while multiple countries promote central bank digital currencies like the digital yuan, creating competition.

    • Profit pressure: USDT's low fee first-mover advantage, coupled with high compliance costs, requires a guarantee deposit of 50 million Hong Kong dollars for a Hong Kong license.

Short-term 1-2 years: Compliant stablecoins will dominate Asian cross-border trade, with JD-HKD potentially capturing over 50% of the Hong Kong dollar stablecoin market.

Long-term: If a 'regional stablecoin alliance' is formed, it may reshape the Visa/SWIFT payment system, achieving 24/7 zero-fee global settlement.

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