🔑 The Federal Reserve would keep rates in the range of 4.25%–4.50%, after four consecutive meetings without changes.
📊 The focus will be on:
The dot-plot (forecasts from Fed members), which can give signals about possible cuts in September or December.
Powell's message about rates, the Middle East war, and how it affects inflation.
🧠 What could happen next?
1. If they keep rates but indicate cuts in September–December:
➕ It could initiate a bullish trend for Bitcoin, DeFi, and altcoins.
2. If they avoid committing to cuts or warn about risks:
➖ The market could react with instability or sideways movement.
In general, it is expected that the statement will be cautious ("wait-and-see"), with later cuts if the data allows it.
💭 My personal opinion
It is very likely they will keep rates unchanged and prepare the market for a first cut in the fall.
✅ This helps calm the dollar and could catalyze a rotation towards risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
🎯 Logical consequence: a "lackluster" announcement but with signs of reduction may be just what the market needs to start gearing up for a potential altseason in summer–fall.
