Dogecoin (DOGE) is once again testing a crucial historical support zone—the same level that marked the market bottom in mid-April—setting the stage for a pivotal moment that could either reinforce or unravel the current Dogecoin price forecast.
Since the meme coin hit a local top in mid-May, a 30% drop has put this key level back in question, with $0.168 firmly in the spotlight as a potential tipping point.
According to popular X analyst Ali Charts, this level aligns with the lower boundary of a crucial symmetrical triangle—a breakdown from which could trigger a 30% retracement.
#Dogecoin $DOGE must hold above $0.168 to avoid a 30% price drop! pic.twitter.com/PDhqo7fpcK
— Ali (@ali_charts) June 15, 2025
Below $0.168 lies a dangerous “gap area”—a price range with sparse previous buying activity, creating little historical support to limit downside.
Dogecoin Price Analysis: A Breakdown Here Could Get Ugly
Zooming out, the symmetrical triangle noted by Martinez contributes to a wider 4-year cup-and-handle pattern, with its lower support crossing the handle.
DOGE / USDT 1-week chart, cup-and-handle pattern. Source: TradingView, Binance.
This creates a potential confluence zone between the make-or-break support and the upper resistance of the descending channel forming the handle—a potential breakout set up.
A confirmed breakout would set a technical target around $0.75—a staggering 350% gain from current levels in line with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
However, this bullish case only holds if the $0.168 support does, and momentum indicators don’t inspire confidence.
The golden cross from May has proven to be short-lived as the MACD line widens its gap below the signal line after a death cross to start June—a sign of a prevailing longer-term downtrend.
The RSI also lends to weakening buy pressure, continuing its decline below the neutral line to its current position at 42.
If DOGE posts a weekly candle close below $0.168, the next major Dogecoin price support zone sits around $0.90, last tested during mid-2024.
From there, all eyes turn to the June 15 US spot Dogecoin ETF decision, which could offer the external catalyst DOGE needs, opening the doors to inflows from traditional investment markets if approved.
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