Everyone loves a good altcoin rally — but according to the Altcoin Season Index, we’re not quite there yet.
📉 As of now, the index sits at 24, down from 30 earlier this week. That means only 24 out of the top 100 altcoins have outperformed $BTC over the last 90 days.
So, no — it’s not altcoin season just yet. But let’s break down what that actually means, and what you should be watching for next 👇
🧠 What Is the Altcoin Season Index?
The Altcoin Season Index (from @CoinMarketCap) helps us figure out who's leading the dance: Bitcoin or altcoins.
🔹 Score below 25 = Bitcoin Season
🔸 Score above 75 = Altcoin Season
⚖️ In between = Transition zone (aka: chop city)
> Right now, with a reading of 24, we’re solidly in Bitcoin dominance mode.
That doesn’t mean altcoins are dead — it just means $BTC is flexing harder than most of its peers right now.
📊 Why Is Bitcoin Dominating?
A few key reasons:
🏦 Institutional flow continues into $BTC-related ETFs
🤖 AI, tokenization, and TradFi narratives still center on Bitcoin as the “gateway” asset
😬 Macro uncertainty (FOMC, inflation, rate cuts) keeps investors risk-averse
When risk appetite is low, money flows into Bitcoin first — alts usually follow after confidence returns.
🔍 What to Watch Next
Want to catch the next alt season before it happens? Here’s what to monitor:
✅ Bitcoin cool-off: when $BTC slows down after a strong rally, altcoins often catch a bid
💸 Stablecoin flows into alt markets (watch $USDT & $USDC on-chain movements)
🔁 Increased $ETH dominance — Ethereum usually leads the altcoin surge
📈 Strength in L1s ($SOL, $AVAX), DeFi blue chips ($UNI, $AAVE), and meme momentum ($DOGE, $PEPE)
🎯 Strategy Tips for Traders
If you're new:
👉 Stick to majors like $ETH, $SOL, or $BNB until alt momentum builds
👉 Don’t chase low caps unless you really know the project and liquidity
If you’re experienced:
🧠 Accumulate promising alts slowly while $BTC is in control
📊 Set alerts for reversal signals on the Altcoin Season Index
👀 Watch social sentiment — early shifts often start on CT