#FOMCMeeting Key Decisions

The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, marking the third consecutive pause since December. The committee emphasized that rate adjustments will hinge on future data amid growing uncertaintiesciteturn0search9turn0news15.

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🔄 Updated Economic Projections

The dot‑plot now shows only one rate cut expected in 2025, down from the two projected in March. Markets see minimal chance of a July cut, with the first likely in Septemberciteturn0news14turn0news30turn0search3.

Officials signaled more cautious growth and slightly higher inflation forecasts due to trade tension and geopolitical risksciteturn0news15turn0news30turn0search3.

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🌍 Contextual Influences

Geopolitical pressures (e.g., Israel–Iran conflict) have pushed oil prices higher, adding to inflation concernsciteturn0news15turn0news14turn0news30.

U.S. trade uncertainties, particularly new tariffs, are expected to weigh on economic growth and inflation dynamicsciteturn0news14turn0news15turn0news30.

Domestic indicators: job growth remains solid, but consumer spending and industrial output showed signs of softening in