As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) wraps up its June 17–18 meeting, all signs point to interest rates staying steady at 4.25 %–4.50 % 🏦. This decision reflects a cautious stance amid persistent inflation risks tied to tariff pressures and recent geopolitical turmoil, including oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions . The latest “dot plot” is expected to shift toward a more hawkish outlook, projecting only one rate cut for the remainder of 2025—in contrast to earlier forecasts of two . Policymakers emphasized the need for clearer data on inflation and economic growth before changing course. With the unemployment rate around 4.2 % and inflation stubbornly above target, the Fed is signaling patience . Markets are tuning into Chair Powell’s Wednesday press conference for clues on timing of future easing, with traders now pricing in the first cut as likely in September rather than earlier. #FOMCMeeting