The nighttime trend of Ethereum regards 2566 as the dividing line between bullish and bearish; if the hourly closing price stabilizes above this level, a rebound will start, with resistance levels sequentially at 2588, 2617, and 2656; if the rebound encounters resistance and fails to break 2566, the previous low of 2540 becomes the key support, with support levels below at 2523, 2491, and 2465.
Scenario-based Trend Strategy:
I. Key Nodes for Rebound Market
- Activation Conditions: The closing price of the hourly candlestick effectively stabilizes above 2566, confirming the start of the rebound, with bullish strength prevailing.
- Pressure Level Ladder:
▶ Short-term Resistance 2588: The first rebound may encounter resistance; if broken, look towards 2617;
▶ Medium-term Resistance 2617: Key position for trend reversal; if broken, challenge 2656;
▶ Strong Resistance 2656: Prior concentrated trading area; breaking this may open up upward space.
II. Support System for Pullback Market
- Previous Low Defense: If the rebound lacks strength and does not rise above 2566, the previous low support at 2540 determines the short-term trend; if it holds, the bottom consolidation is maintained.
- Support Level Ladder:
▶ First Support 2523: Short-term pullback buffer zone; if lost, it will probe down to 2491;
▶ Medium-term Support 2491: Key position for bullish and bearish contention; if broken, look towards 2465;
▶ Strong Support 2465: Daily level support zone; breaking this may probe lower ranges.
III. Operational Suggestions and Risk Control Tips
- Long Position Strategy: After stabilizing above 2566, follow in lightly, targeting 2588-2617, with a stop loss set 1-2 points below 2566 (2564-2565).
- Short Position Strategy: If the rebound encounters resistance at 2566 and closes without breaking it, you can follow the trend and look for a short position, targeting 2540-2523, with a stop loss set above 2566 at the same amplitude.
- Precautions: Combine candlestick patterns (such as bullish engulfing/bearish engulfing) and changes in volume; a breakthrough of resistance levels requires volume confirmation, while breaking support levels requires decisive stop-loss; keep positions under 30% to avoid chasing highs and cutting losses.#以太坊走势观察 $ETH