#FOMCMeeting 🏦 What’s Happening Now

The Federal Reserve is holding its two‑day FOMC meeting on June 17–18, 2025 .

Markets overwhelmingly expect no rate change — the federal funds target is 4.25%–4.50%, where it has sat since December 2024 .

The Fed is taking a cautious stance, citing economic headwinds from President Trump’s tariffs, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and mixed U.S. data (weaker retail sales & industrial output) .

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Key Issues on the Table

Geopolitical risk — Ongoing tensions (e.g. Israel‑Iran) could impact oil and inflation .

Trade/tariffs — Uncertainty is creating stagflation risks: slower growth with upside price pressure .

Inflation & labor market — Recent CPI/PPI prints are soft; unemployment sits steady (~4.2%) .