A sharp drop is imminent, and another surge in the market is an opportunity to enter.

Geopolitical conflicts continue, but their impact on Bitcoin has become less pronounced. The market has basically entered a phase of significant volatility, which can be quite troublesome. The technical indicators may look good, but suddenly a piece of news can cause prices to surge or plummet.

I suggest that friends who are currently in cash should not rush to enter for short-term trading; this kind of market is too prone to being 'cut' back and forth. Those who have positions can reduce their holdings appropriately during rebounds and wait to buy the dip; this approach will be more prudent.

Next, keep an eye on the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision, as the Japanese economy is not looking optimistic. Additionally, there is the Federal Reserve's meeting; although there is a high probability that interest rates will remain unchanged, everyone is more concerned about the Fed's stance on future rate cuts, which will directly affect market trends in the second half of the year.

Back to the charts, Bitcoin is currently at a critical position. After significant volatility, there is likely to be a major drop, with an appropriate entry point around 109k, and Ethereum around 2700.

When building positions, be sure to control your exposure. Don't rush to go all in just because of a rebound. The biggest uncertainty in the market right now is Trump; just a casual negative statement can easily trap you. It is advisable to adopt a phased approach to building positions: buy a little more when it drops, and sell a little when it rises. This way, you can reduce risk while seizing swing opportunities. Key news to focus on includes the Federal Reserve's movements, especially Powell's speeches, as these could very well become catalysts for the next market wave.

Overall, the market is still in a relatively sensitive period, with many uncertainties. I recommend that everyone prioritize stability in their operations, avoid greed, and do not blindly chase prices up or down. If you are still not confident enough, feel free to consult.