#FOMCMeeting – Fed’s Cautious Pause Amid Global Risks

Today (June 17–18, 2025), the Fed held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, maintaining a wait‑and‑see stance as global trade and geopolitical uncertainty complicate the outlook . U.S. inflation has eased modestly (PCE ~2.1%), and the labor market remains stable, but tariff and oil pressures persist . Markets expect the first rate cuts to arrive later this year — likely September or October — depending on next month’s dot‑plot projections and Powell’s press remarks . As Chair Powell emphasizes, the Fed must guard its credibility and avoid acting prematurely under political pressure .

💬 Will the Fed wait for clarity or pivot to pre‑empt economic slowdown?