#FOMCMeeting 📌 Results of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, June 17–18, 2025.

• Rates left unchanged — range of 4.25–4.50%, matching the expectations of most economists  .

• Inflation continues to slow down, taking into account potential delayed effects of tariffs .

• The labor market is stable — unemployment at 4.2%, the number of jobs remains above expectations .

• Tariffs and political uncertainty (trade barriers, budget deficit) remain major risks for inflation and growth .

• “Dots” on the dot-plot are shifting — participants are reducing the number of downward adjustments in 2025, likely only one or none this year.

• A press conference is scheduled for tomorrow, and markets are awaiting hints from Jerome Powell about the future trajectory — there is cautious optimism for a slight easing by fall, but no promises yet.

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✅ Brief summary: The Fed is in no rush: data indicates weak inflation and a strong labor market, but risks from tariffs and budget deficits keep it in a wait-and-see position. Markets are assessing the likelihood of the first rate cut in September (around 60%)