#美联储FOMC会议 #美联储FOMC会议 Super Central Bank Week is here, what major moves will happen this time?
The market has changed a bit over the past week.
The latest U.S. May CPI annual rate is only 2.4%, a little lower than the expected 2.5%, which indicates signs of continued cooling in inflation—Is the Federal Reserve finally considering a rate cut?
But don't rush to conclusions; it's still too early because this week marks 'Super Central Bank Week,' where several major central banks around the world will announce their interest rate decisions. This is a significant event that will impact the direction of the cryptocurrency market, stock market, and foreign exchange market!
Let's see what has happened:
In the U.S.:
May CPI: Annual rate 2.4%, lower than expected, indicating that prices are not rising as sharply.
PPI: Annual rate 2.6%, in line with expectations, indicating that the production side is also quite stable.
Unemployment claims data: Slightly higher at 248,000, but still within a reasonable range.
The key point is: U.S. household assets have shown their first decline since 2023, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to pay more attention to economic pressure.
In China:
CPI is -0.1%, indicating that domestic consumption remains weak.
M2 (money supply) growth rate is also below expectations, meaning that money is not as easily available, and the effect of economic stimulus may not be strong.
Key events to watch this week:
June 17: The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision first (everyone wants to see when they will truly end the 'negative interest rate era').
June 18: The U.S. will announce the new week's initial unemployment claims, and the Bank of Canada will release meeting minutes.
The main event on June 19!
Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision & dot plot (most anticipated).
Powell's press conference: every word he says can influence the market significantly.
The UK and Swiss central banks will also announce their interest rate decisions on this day.
June 20: Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo will give a speech, and the market will look for 'policy direction.'
What does the crypto world think?
If the expectations of a rate cut become stronger, both BTC and altcoins may benefit. This is a crucial stage for analyzing macro data and grasping the timing for large capital inflows.
Want to know how I judge the upcoming trends in the crypto market based on this data?
Follow my profile for the latest macro + on-chain + hot topic linkage strategies; opportunities are always reserved for those who can see clearly. ##美联储FOMC会议
