#FOMCMeeting

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on June 17–18, 2025, is a pivotal event for markets, with key focus areas including the federal funds rate, the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference.

The Fed’s cautious stance reflects a balancing act between inflation control and economic growth amid unprecedented trade policy uncertainty. Critics argue the Fed risks acting too late if tariff-driven inflation or economic slowdown intensifies, but others see the pause as prudent given mixed signals. The reliance on data dependency may frustrate markets seeking clarity, especially with Trump’s tariff policies muddying forecasts. The SEP’s stag flationary tilt could signal a tougher road ahead, potentially underestimating recession risks if business investment stalls further.