#FOMCMeeting :

🧭 Pre‑meeting expectations

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🔍 What to watch in the statement & press conference

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🏦 Economic backdrop

Inflation: recent data show it has eased somewhat (CPI, PPI), but still hovers near the Fed’s 2 % target—mixed signals .

Labor market: remains fairly robust (4.2 % unemployment, solid job gains), though some signs of softening are appearing .

Global risks: rising oil prices from Middle East tensions (spike ~13 %) and ongoing U.S. tariffs could add inflation pressure .

🚦 Market implications

No immediate rate cut this June; focus shifts to later in the year. Traders see a ~56 % chance of a September cut and see Q3 as the earliest target .

Yield curve steepening, with investors favoring short-term bonds due to diminished prospects for quick cuts .

Financial markets (stocks, bonds, commodities): digesting geopolitical cues and awaiting Fed clarity for direction.

✅ Summary

June 17–18: FOMC meeting.

June 18, 2 pm ET: rate decision and press conference.

Key outcomes: pause on rates, updated projections, dot‑plot, Powell remarks.

Outlook: no cut likely until at