1. 🧭 Current market context

Total market capitalization — $3.33T

Daily trading volume — $133.35B

📉 The last 30 days — the market is volatile but without a clearly defined trend. Two key waves are visible — growth at the end of May and correction in the second week of June.

2. 💹 Sentiment indices

🔸 Fear & Greed Index: 53

→ The transition from 'greed' to 'neutral' indicates a decrease in retail interest.

→ Usually, such a zone precedes either distribution or a flat before a sharp movement.

📉 Alt season index: 24/100

→ This is BITCOIN SEASON: #BTC is dominant, alts are lagging and correcting.

→ Altcoins tend to fall faster during corrections and rise slower during bounces.

📊 CoinMarketCap100 Index: $204.9

→ A slight decrease (-0.02%) confirms the flat state of the market.

3. 💰 Capital inflows and outflows

Net Inflow for June 16: +$430M

→ Capital is entering the market despite the decline of altcoins. Pointed purchases on the dip are likely.

Dominance #BTC: 63.9%, #ETH: 9.4%

→ A strong shift towards BTC indicates a flight of capital from risky alts to 'digital gold'.

→ Such dominance of BTC historically leads to a decline of alts in the BTC pair.

Open interest: $659.94B

→ There is significant positional activity, but without aggression (low futures volume — $2.92B).

Implied volatility:

BTC: 42.78

ETH: 79.22

→ The market is pricing in increased volatility for ETH. Expectation of instability or sharp movement in the coming days.

📌 Key points and conclusions

📉 Weakening of altcoins

Most alts have gone into oversold territory:

RSI < 40 for #SUI, #DOGE, #ADA, #SHIB

This gives potential for a local bounce, but only with volume support.

⚠️ Dangerous zones

#BCH in overbought zone, RSI > 60–68 on all TFs — high risk of profit taking.

#BNB is approaching a similar zone, be cautious.

📈 Opportunities for short-term trades

Long candidates by RSI: #ADA, #DOGE, #SUI, #SHIB

Potential pullback: #BCH, #BNB

Expecting flat movement: #LINK, #TON, #AVAX, #HBAR

🎯 Summary

✅ The market is stabilizing, #BTC is dominant

📉 Alts have entered a zone of weakness — a bounce is possible, but only short-term

📊 Fear & Greed in the neutral zone — the market is at a crossroads

⚠️ The lack of strong volumes does not provide grounds for a medium-term long

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