$BTC
📉 Current Analysis
Bitcoin experienced a decline to around $103,000 in the middle of the month as tensions escalated, before recovering again to $106–107,000 yesterday.
Global markets like gold continued to gain while Bitcoin lacked its traditional role as a safe haven.
However, technical data (MACD) indicates potential for an upward movement in the near term, with strong support at $104–105,000.
📊 Investment Recommendation
1. Gradual Entry: Start by buying a small amount (20–30%) around the $105–106,000 levels, to give yourself room to act if downward momentum returns.
2. Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy: Given the volatility associated with the conflict, spread your investment over two weeks, avoiding sudden decision-making.
3. Time Horizon Analysis: For the short-term market, remaining geopolitical events will be the decisive factor. For the medium term (1–3 months), technical indicators and rising institutional flows (additions to digital wallets) support targets of $120,000 to $125,000.
⚠️ Caution Points
Any further escalation in the conflict could reapply pressure on high-risk assets like Bitcoin, pushing it down to $100–102,000.
Make sure to use a stop-loss order below $100,000 to manage the risk of a significant drop.
🔑 Summary
In light of current events, Bitcoin is now seen as a calculated-risk opportunity. Use the averaging method and define exit points