Alpha Current Situation Deep Analysis: Can We Still Trade?

I: Why Was the Wear Low Before?

1. Super large U trading pair pool (tens of millions in depth)

2. Coin price very stable

3. Alpha supports mutual trading strategies

But with the collapse of ZKJ and KOGE, all three advantages are gone. The once tens of millions pool has shrunk significantly.

II: What to Trade Now?

According to Dune data & Alpha trading volume ranking (trading volume within 4 hours):

Ranking Token Trading Volume Liquidity

1️⃣AIKO 119.4M 3M

2️⃣MYX 60.8M 2M

3️⃣QUQ 59.7M 310K

4️⃣ZRC 36.8M 1M

5️⃣OL 28.8M 1M

These pools are not large, and the coin prices fluctuate extremely high, mostly BNB group pools.

III: Is the Wear Still Low? Here Are the Test Results

I personally tested the TAIKO trading pair:

Each operation: 6.4 BNB (approximately 4200U)

Operated 8 times, total loss: 0.019 BNB ≈ about 12.4U

Average loss per operation: 1.55U

Every 10,000 dollars of wear is about 4U, which has doubled compared to before.

IV: Suggestions and Strategies Going Forward

It is not recommended to trade in large amounts, focus on 'low guarantee':

Trade twice, each time 4200U, total amount ≈ 8200U, get 14 points

Try to use BNB for trading, as the loss is small; if there is no BNB, you can borrow it.

Be sure to enter and exit quickly, do not operate back and forth multiple times, as the risk is very high.

V: Risks of Trading Alpha

The previous trading pairs have high volatility, and the pools are small, so it is not recommended to operate back and forth multiple times. When trading, it must be fast buy and fast sell, completing two or three rounds.

The risk lies in flash crashes, as Alpha has now rolled into a situation with no profit, a one-time airdrop of 50U, with thresholds above 240 points.

Based on the previous general trading of 16 points (33,000 trading volume) + 2 points (270 points in 15 days), considering a 0.02 wear, a loss of $200 in a month, receiving 4 times a month, equating to just $200, which means there is no profit to speak of.

So if BA does not adjust going forward, there is no need to continue trading.

VI: So Why Trade for Low Guarantee?

To maintain basic progress and not fall behind

1. See if any impressive projects appear, resulting in a 'critical hit'

2. The Alpha scoring mechanism is frequently adjusted, every 15 days, if one day is missed, it will take a cycle of time to make up.

My strategy: Trade for low guarantee, observe the situation after the new regulations on the 19th, and decide whether to stay or go in a week.

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