• The Fed’s June 18 rate decision and updated economic projections may shape expectations for rate cuts amid easing inflation and job market softness.

  • ApeCoin and Fasttoken face major token unlocks totaling nearly $100M, raising concerns about selling pressure and price volatility.

  • U.S. and China economic data, along with political developments like the GENIUS Act vote, may influence global market sentiment.

 

 

Monday, June 16, 2025

 

  • Trump Organization to make a major announcement

 

Tuesday, June 17, 2025

 

  • U.S. Core Retail Sales MoM for May (Forecast: 0.2%, Previous: 0.1%)

 

  • U.S. Retail Sales MoM for May (Forecast: -0.6%, Previous: 0.1%)

 

  • Final vote on the GENIUS Act in the U.S. Senate

 

  • ApeCoin (APE) Token Unlock: 15.6 million tokens to be unlocked, worth approximately $10.34 million, accounting for 1.95% of circulating supply

 

Wednesday, June 18, 2025

 

  • U.S. Initial Jobless Claims: 248K

 

  • U.S. EIA Crude Oil Inventory Change: -3.644 million barrels

 

  • Federal Reserve FOMC Economic Projections

 

  • Federal Reserve FOMC Monetary Policy Statement

 

  • Fed Interest Rate Decision (Forecast and Previous: 4.50%)

 

  • Fed Chair Press Conference

 

  • Fasttoken (FTN) Token Unlock: 20 million tokens to be unlocked, worth approximately $88.8 million, accounting for 4.65% of circulating supply

 

  • Sonic (S) Token Unlock: 47.63 million tokens to be unlocked, worth approximately $15.73 million, accounting for 1.65% of circulating supply

 

Thursday, June 19, 2025

 

  • U.S. Public Holiday: Juneteenth

 

  • U.S. Initial Jobless Claims: 248K

 

  • China Loan Prime Rate (LPR) announcement for June:

 

 

  • 1-Year LPR (Forecast: 3.50%, Previous: 3.50%)

 

  • 5-Year LPR (Forecast: 3.00%, Previous: 3.00%)

 

Saturday, June 21, 2025

 

  • Metars Genesis (MRS) Token Unlock: 10 million tokens to be unlocked, worth approximately $200 million (circulating share not disclosed)

 

 

 

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH THIS WEEK

 

1. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision（06.18）

 

This is the most important event of the week for global financial markets. The U.S. Federal Reserve will announce its June interest rate decision, followed by the FOMC meeting and a press conference.

 

While the market expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged at 4.50%, investors are closely watching for any signs of a first rate cut later in the year, especially as inflation moderates and the labor market softens.

 

The release of the FOMC economic projections and dot plot will also provide insight into future policy direction, with significant implications for equities, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and the U.S. dollar.

 

2. ApeCoin (APE) Major Token Unlock (06.17)

 

Unlock Volume: 15.6 million APE (≈ $10.34 million), accounting for 1.95% of circulating supply

 

ApeCoin is a prominent governance token tied to the Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) ecosystem developed by Yuga Labs.

 

While the size of this unlock is moderate, APE’s relatively concentrated token distribution and its close ties to the NFT sector make it especially sensitive to post-unlock activity.

 

Market Impact:

 

  • If unlocked tokens are sold on the secondary market, this could create short-term price pressure

 

  • If the team announces extended lock-up or no-sell plans, it may boost investor confidence

 

3. Fasttoken (FTN) Token Unlock (06.18)

 

Unlock Volume: 20 million FTN (≈ $88.8 million), accounting for 4.65% of circulating supply

 

This is one of the largest token unlock events of the week. Fast Token is a project focused on blockchain-based gaming and betting.

 

The scale of this unlock—nearly $89 million in value—represents a sizable liquidity injection into the market and could exert significant pressure on price.

 

Key Risks:

 

  • High unlock ratio may result in selling pressure

 

  • If not accompanied by staking/vesting strategies, early investors may exit in large numbers

 

 

WEEKLY SUMMARY

 

This week (June 16–22, 2025) features a dense calendar of macroeconomic data and central bank decisions. All eyes are on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on June 18, where rates are expected to remain at 4.50%.

 

However, the updated dot plot and economic projections could shift expectations for rate cuts later this year. U.S. retail sales and jobless claims data will also offer clues about the strength of consumer demand and the labor market.

 

On the political front, the U.S. Senate will hold a final vote on the GENIUS Act on June 17, while the Trump Organization is set to release a major statement on June 16.

 

In China, the Loan Prime Rate is due on June 19, with no policy change expected. These events may influence risk sentiment globally, especially in equities and forex.

 

In the crypto space, over $100 million worth of token unlocks are scheduled, including ApeCoin (APE), Fasttoken (FTN), Sonic (S), and Metars Genesis (MRS).

 

The FTN and APE unlocks are particularly notable due to their size relative to circulating supply. Combined with macro drivers, these events could trigger short-term volatility across digital assets.

〈Crypto Weekly Outlook (6/16–6/22)｜The Federal Reserve to Announce Latest Interest Rate Decision on June 18〉這篇文章最早發佈於《CoinRank》。