Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of a short-term recovery after testing the $103,200 support zone, sparking renewed optimism among bulls. The flagship cryptocurrency is currently trading near $105,800, holding above the 100-hour simple moving average, and may attempt to break above the critical $106,800 resistance level in the coming hours.

BTC Price Action: From Decline to Rebound

Earlier this week, Bitcoin failed to clear the $110,000 resistance, triggering a sharp decline. It broke below $107,000 and $105,500, eventually finding support near $103,200, where a local bottom was formed at $103,078.

Following this dip, BTC saw a relief rally. It broke above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent decline from $110,411 to $103,078. Additionally, Bitcoin surged past a key bearish trend line at $105,000 on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken data feed), further boosting short-term bullish sentiment.

Key Resistance Levels to Watch

Bitcoin now faces its first major resistance near $106,000, followed by a stronger barrier at $106,750, which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent downturn. If BTC can decisively close above $107,500, it could pave the way for another upward push toward $108,000 and eventually $110,000.

According to technical analysts, clearing $107,500 may mark the start of a new upside leg. However, the market still requires strong buying volume to confirm a sustainable rally.

Support Levels That Could Define BTC’s Trajectory

On the flip side, failure to break above $106,750 could lead to another pullback. Immediate support is seen at $105,000, with further cushions at $104,200 and $103,200.

Should BTC break below the $103K region, bearish momentum could drag it toward $102,500, and potentially test the psychological $100,000 support level. A close below that may trigger a more extended bearish phase.

Technical Indicators

  • Hourly MACD: Gaining pace in the bearish zone, suggesting cautious momentum.

  • Hourly RSI: Positioned above 50, indicating a potential shift toward bullish control.

  • Key Support Levels: $104,200, $103,200, $102,500

  • Key Resistance Levels: $106,750, $107,500, $110,000

Conclusion: All Eyes on $106,800

Bitcoin’s recovery from the $103K low has stirred optimism, but bulls must conquer $106,800 to regain full control. The next few sessions will be critical as BTC teeters between a bullish breakout and another correction.

With macro trends, institutional flows, and market sentiment in play, traders should watch volume confirmations and short-term breakouts before making moves.

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