🌞6.16 Accurate Market Analysis！！！
Good morning, brothers, a new week has begun.
Will this week become a turning point for the market?
The situation in the Middle East remains tense, with escalating conflicts between Israel and Iran.
Last week, we analyzed three possible scenarios of the Middle East conflict and their impact on the cryptocurrency market. Based on the developments in recent days, the likelihood of further escalation in the conflict is decreasing.
There are several reasons for this:
1. Iran's defense and missile capabilities were severely damaged in the last round of conflict;
2. Israel's intelligence system has deeply infiltrated, and Iran has become an “intelligence battlefield”;
3. Iran finds it difficult to sustain further escalation of the conflict in terms of hard power and can only choose to quietly conclude, even indicating a withdrawal from nuclear weapons plans under international public opinion pressure.
On the other hand, on-chain data shows:
Whale address holdings continue to rise;
The main players are accelerating the pace of cleanup and chip collection amid the market decline, with the overall accumulation progress at approximately 80%.
Pay special attention to two key points this week:
1. On Tuesday (8:30), the U.S. May retail sales month-on-month and import price index month-on-month will be announced.
2. On Thursday, the Federal Reserve will release the latest interest rate decision.
If the Federal Reserve signals a rate cut in its wording, BTC is expected to break through previous highs.
Bitcoin continues to flow out of exchanges, and on-chain trends remain positive. Meanwhile, the legislative process regarding stablecoins in the U.S. is gradually advancing, and both state and federal governments are discreetly laying out Bitcoin strategic reserves, while corporate BTC purchasing has not slowed down.
These signals all indicate: there is still a significant market movement that has yet to start this year. What we can do is prepare in advance.
Operational advice:
Brothers with funds can continue to dollar-cost average BTC or accumulate in batches at low levels;
SOL can be used as an auxiliary allocation, with suggested position control around 10%.
