I see next week quite simply.

First off, close this week above $104k = gud start.

Then, Hold above the 50ema (over $102k wicks to $100k fine) and we are good for continuation.

Lose $100k and we head for $96k.

Not a single person can deny the TA right now for BTC HTF is bullish.

That's it.

Still not a fan of $ETH weekly candles though.

I think its possible we could get wicks down to $2,250 on $ETH if $BTC sharply drops to $99k/100k, then gets bought up.

BTC -6% move

ETH - 10% move

Let's see.

In terms of the narrative... The "War".

I think Crypto wise its a nothing burger at the moment. We could get some volatile PA on news, but the structure is intact so it doesn't really matter to me.

Full on escalation and USA getting involved? Different story... but I give that 0.1% chance.

USA cannot afford a war.

This will end in a deal and the markets will move higher anyway.

Conclusion:

Very bullish HTF but being prepared for LTF pull back on ETH of -10%.

Expect alts - 25%

But if we do get it, after that is back.