In just one day, the situation has fluctuated greatly. When the federal judge ruled that Trump's troop deployment was "unconstitutional," the Newsom team thought victory was assured.
However, Trump's team quickly appealed, pulling back a win, and Newsom can be said to have "just won to lose." With power in his hands, Trump has plenty of means to control him.
However, let’s not jump to conclusions too quickly; Newsom still has a strong card up his sleeve!
If California is really determined, it could directly cut off funding for the National Guard and start its own "California version of the Guard," which is not out of the question.
In plain terms, this is using the purse as a weapon. If you, the federal government, want to seize command, then our state government won't spend any money. Let's see what you will use to support your troops!
But doing this also carries significant risks. It could easily turn into a direct confrontation between "state power vs. federal power," and by then the Supreme Court will probably be in an uproar.
In my opinion, the duel between these two big shots is like playing chess. You take my rook, I counter with your knight; until the last moment, no one knows which move is the killer blow.