$BNB #BinanceAlpha According to analyst Ai 姨 on X, the flash crash of KOGE and ZKJ on the night of June 15 may stem from the decrease in liquidity on Binance Alpha in the days prior. Here are 3 key points:

1. Why attack KOGE first, then ZKJ?

  • ZKJ has derivatives contracts: Whales can open short positions on the exchange while simultaneously selling the chain, optimizing profits.

  • ZKJ liquidity is better than KOGE:

    • ZKJ requires more capital to 'smash the price' → Must focus efforts on KOGE first to create psychological effects.

    • The collapse of KOGE triggers FOMO selling on ZKJ, reducing manipulation costs.

2. Why does the price crash slower than the selling time?

  • LP (Liquidity Pool) is too narrow:

    • KOGE and ZKJ originally had a liquidity pool concentrated around one price (e.g., $30 ± 2%).

    • When whales withdraw liquidity + sell off massively, there is no longer enough money to buy support → Price falls freely.

  • Domino effect:

    • LP panics and withdraws money → Liquidity becomes thinner → Price is easier to crash deeply.

    • Investors holding are stuck with depreciating tokens.

3. Why choose the night of June 15 to 'smash the price'?

  • Binance Alpha weakens:

    • Alpha trading volume continuously decreases for several days → Thinner liquidity → Easier to manipulate.

  • Weak holder mentality:

    • Most holders of KOGE/ZKJ are farm APR, not long-term holders → See risk and sell immediately.

    • It only takes a few whales to withdraw liquidity to cause a 'crash effect'.

Lessons from the KOGE-ZKJ disaster

✅ Risk of concentrated liquidity pools:

  • Projects with narrow LP are easily manipulated even with high volume.

  • Always check the order book depth before investing.

✅ Monitor liquidity fluctuations:

  • If you see a sharp decrease in TVL in the pool, be cautious.

✅ Avoid FOMO into high-APR farms:

  • Yield of 794% APR (like KOGE-ZKJ) usually comes with the risk of collapse.

🔎 Who benefits?

  • Whales shorted derivatives before selling.

  • Group withdrew liquidity early, avoiding the crash.