If everything starts from 0, what would you do in the current market situation?
Because starting from 0, I shouldn't have any positions, nor profits or losses.
However, from a cyclical perspective, we are already in the later stage of a bull market, and Bitcoin has risen from $20,000 to $100,000; it's not cheap anymore.
But let's examine the market data:
1️⃣ The Federal Reserve will likely have another round of interest rate cuts, which is favorable for risk markets.
2️⃣ The crypto market just experienced a sharp drop on February 3rd, and leverage has basically been cleaned out.
3️⃣ Market sentiment is neutral to bearish.
4️⃣ Bitcoin has not yet formed a peak pattern; we are still in the FOMO phase.
5️⃣ Trump's policy to include Bitcoin in the strategic reserve has not yet materialized.
Overall analysis shows there is a probability for a new high.
If I had $10,000 in cash that I’m not in a hurry to use, I would likely allocate to buy 60% Bitcoin and 40% Ethereum over the next two months in the current market situation.
The remaining time would be to patiently wait; if particularly bad situations arise, and the bull market truly ends,
I would convert Ethereum into Bitcoin, holding Bitcoin through the bear market.
But the current issue is that most people are at a loss, making it hard to think rationally and plan positions; they are contemplating using leverage to quickly break even or using money they need urgently, putting themselves in a state of anxiety.