#IsraelIranConflict #BTC

Here’s a deep dive into today’s BTC market (June 14, 2025):

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📊 Price & Technical Snapshot

• Current trading range: ~$104.2K–$106.1K—tight consolidation over the last 24 hours .

• Support & resistance: Immediate support at ~$104K (with a broader buffer down to ~$101.7K); resistance across $106K–$108.5K .

• Short-term bias: Slight bearish technicals; majority of moving averages suggest selling pressure (~67% bearish over 15-min intervals) .

• On-chain/indicators: Neutral–cautious sentiment (Fear & Greed ~52), no exhaustion signals flagged—30 bull‑market indicators remain in confirmation mode .

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🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Context

• Middle East tensions: Conflicts (e.g., Israel‑Iran) are pressing risk assets, dragging BTC lower intraday .

• US economic data: Mixed signals—some moderate inflation releases and pending FOMC commentary later this month could trigger notable market moves .

• Institutional momentum: Trade talks (notably US‑China), increased corporate treasuries (e.g. Trump Media’s $2.3B SEC‑approved BTC purchase), ETF inflows, and stablecoin IPOs are driving bullish undercurrents .

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👥 Sentiment & Investor Behavior

• Profit-taking phase: BTC is hugging local highs (~104K–106K), indicating short-term selling pressure post recent rally .

• Institutional support: Firms like BlackRock (now ~3% of total BTC supply) and MicroStrategy, plus pro-crypto policy tailwinds—especially from the Trump administration—are reinforcing institutional confidence .

• Strategic plays: Trump’s SEC approval for Trump Media’s BTC asset strategy, plus executive orders to create a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (200k BTC on treasury), suggest long-term bullish positioning .

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📈 Forecast & Strategy Implications

• Short-term (<1 week): Expect choppy action between $104K–$108K, with downside risk if geopolitical/recession fears escalate and support breaks