150 armored vehicles, 50 aerial formations, and 6,600 active-duty soldiers will be arrayed at the National Mall. This military spectacle tailored for the Army's birthday and Trump's birthday is becoming the focus of global geopolitical observation. As cryptocurrency investors, we should look beyond this 'political show' to discern the potential market chain reactions it may trigger.


From a historical perspective, the previous four national parades in the U.S. were all accompanied by victories in wars: the end of the Civil War in 1865, the armistice of World War I in 1919, the victory of World War II in 1946, and the conclusion of the Gulf War in 1991, all of which were peak moments of national cohesion. However, this parade is overshadowed by ongoing unrest due to immigration policies, with the Trump administration deeply linking military displays to personal political symbols. This 'celebratory parade' appears particularly abrupt under constitutional traditions. Just as George H.W. Bush's victory parade in 1991 led to a short-term strengthening of the dollar, the display of military power against the backdrop of societal division may exacerbate market concerns about policy uncertainty — this is precisely the typical 'risk premium-triggering scenario' for cryptocurrencies.

It is noteworthy that the budget controversy surrounding this parade continues to escalate: the military initially planned expenditures of $25-45 million, but with additional hidden costs such as road renovations, round-the-clock security, and the mobilization of the National Guard, actual spending is likely to exceed $100 million. During the Federal Reserve's ongoing aggressive rate hike cycle, the massive fiscal drain from this 'political face project' may further undermine market confidence in the dollar credit system. Reflecting on the fluctuations in the dollar index triggered by the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021, it becomes clear that when the governance capacity of traditional financial systems is called into question, decentralized assets represented by BTC and ETH often become a 'pressure valve' for capital seeking refuge.

From a technical perspective in the cryptocurrency space, the recent continuous liquidation of ETH is essentially a game of both sides regarding 'policy expectation differences.' The Trump administration's insistence on a 'strong military' response to protests absurdly intertextualizes with graffiti slogans on the streets of Los Angeles stating that 'the real parade has already started on the streets.' This concretization of social division is reshaping investors' risk assessment models. Smart capital has long realized that when the state machinery becomes overly politicized, blockchain assets based on cryptographic trust become value anchors that penetrate geographical fog.

For strategic traders, two key windows should be closely monitored: the extreme market sentiment point on June 14, the day of the parade, and the 'expectation difference' formed by the subsequent week's U.S. CPI data and actual parade cost disclosures. Historical data shows that the volatility of the cryptocurrency market typically increases by 37%-52% in the 48 hours before and after major political events, and the 'policy risk hedging zone' formed by ETH in the $2,500-$2,600 range is providing excellent risk-reward opportunities for swing traders.

This military performance, derisively labeled by the Democrats as a 'modern coronation ceremony,' essentially exposes the governance anxiety of traditional power systems during periods of social division. Cryptocurrency investors have long understood that the true 'parade' is not found in the marching on the square but in the decentralized trust confirmed with each block. As the pendulum of the old world swings violently, maintaining a keen sense of 'institutional risk premium' is the ultimate parade to navigate through bull and bear markets.

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