Key Takeaways:

Historical data shows Bitcoin often gains 16–24% following major oil price spikes.

BTC is currently trading near $102,800, down from last week’s high of $110,200.

A similar rebound could push Bitcoin to $119,200 by June 21, based on past trends.

Bitcoin Eyes $119K as Oil Surge Sets Up Familiar Pattern

Bitcoin’s price could be poised for a breakout to $119,000 if historical trends following oil price rallies hold. Data shows that Bitcoin has rallied between 16% and 24% within days of sharp oil price spikes, despite initially reacting negatively to geopolitical stress.

BTC Drops During Oil Spike—Then Rebounds Strongly

During the latest rally, WTI crude oil surged 19%, climbing from $64.80 to $77 per barrel between Wednesday and Friday. Bitcoin, in turn, dropped from $110,200 to $102,800, reflecting its risk-on nature during uncertain macroeconomic periods.

Yet, historical data reveals a pattern: BTC often rebounds sharply in the days following oil-driven declines.

Historical Examples:

Jan 2025: Oil surged to $80.50; Bitcoin dropped to $89,300, then rallied 22% to $109,300 in 7 days.

Oct 2024: Oil spiked to $77.50; BTC dipped to $58,900, then rebounded 16% to $68,960.

Aug 2024: Oil rose to $80 after Libyan unrest; BTC fell to $56,150, then climbed 16% to $65,000.

Target: $119,200 by June 21?

If the current pattern repeats, Bitcoin’s drop to $102,800 could be the start of a new upswing. A 16% rebound from current levels would push BTC toward $119,200 by June 21, mirroring prior oil-driven rallies.

While no trend is guaranteed, rising oil prices—now at five-month highs—suggest another short-term buy-the-dip opportunity for BTC traders, according to Cointelegraph.