6.14 Accurate Market Analysis

Good morning, brothers. How will the market move next? Will BTC drop below $100,000? How should we respond?

Yesterday, Israel's airstrike on Iran ignited a powder keg; the Iranian commander was eliminated, and many nuclear facilities and scientists were lost, with Israel pressing them down. Although Iran's population is ten times that of Israel, Israel's technology is ten times that of Iran.

With the market struggling, some brothers privately asked if a bear market is coming,

Will BTC crash to $80,000?

Despite the harsh macro environment, this week's CPI is conducive to interest rate cuts.

Additionally, BTC is gradually flowing out of exchanges, and the trend is looking positive. The issuance of stablecoins in the U.S. is ongoing, and the Bitcoin strategic reserves of various states and the central government are quietly advancing. Major companies have not slowed down their pace of purchasing BTC. All these indicate that something big is still coming this year! The big one has not arrived yet, and what we need to do is to be prepared. Brothers with bullets can dollar-cost average and buy BTC at low prices.

Yesterday, we analyzed separately:

1. Escalation of conflict, probability 30%, BTC drops 5%-10%, altcoins drop more than 20%, BTC first drops and then rises, gold continues to rise.

2. Limited confrontation, probability 60%, BTC rebounds and breaks new highs, whales complete the last round of washing, pushing it to $120,000, altcoins recover.

3. Situation cools down, probability 10%, BTC surges with even stronger momentum, rising to $130,000 within a week.

Currently, there is a 70% probability that it won't get big, but we need to keep some bullets. If BTC drops below $100,000, it would be a great opportunity to buy the dip.

Nang's analysis is just for friendly reference. Adults need to be responsible for their own decisions. Investing involves risks; please invest with spare money and think independently.