"Black swan news looms, technical death cross dominates, 100,000 dollars is the lifeline for BTC bulls, and the charge signal for bears!"

News: Three major bearish pressures loom overhead

  1. Middle East conflict strikes: On June 13, Israel launched airstrikes on Iran, triggering a surge in global risk aversion. BTC plummeted 3000 dollars in 15 minutes, with 250,000 liquidations exceeding 1 billion dollars. The geopolitical conflict directly impacts the vulnerability of cryptocurrency as a "risk amplifier," with funds rapidly fleeing to traditional safe-haven assets like gold.

  2. US-China trade tariff escalation: US tariffs on China jumped from 30% to 55%, far exceeding market expectations. Analyst Keith Alan pointed out that high tariffs will impact the overall US economy, suppressing short-term demand for risk assets (including BTC), and market sentiment has turned cautious.

  3. Federal Reserve interest rate cut delay: Market expectations for a delay in the Fed's interest rate cut have heated up, with tightening liquidity expectations suppressing BTC's rebound potential. The macro environment and geopolitical issues form a "double whammy," with institutional funds continuously withdrawing from Bitcoin ETFs (net outflow of 644 million dollars on the 6th).

Technical analysis: death cross resonance, downward channel established

MACD death cross strengthens: The 4-hour level DIF (618.08) and DEA (353.02) are diverging downwards, and the MACD histogram's negative value is expanding (-761.88), with a daily death cross synchronized, indicating strong bearish momentum.

Key support lost:

106,000 USD (0.5 Fibonacci level + multi-day moving average cluster) has turned into strong resistance;

103,200 USD (0.236 Fibonacci support) has become the last line of defense; if broken, it will head straight for the psychological level of 100,000 USD.

Bollinger Bands open downwards: The lower Bollinger Band on the 4-hour chart has moved down to 104,000 USD, with prices closely adhering to the lower band, oversold but lacking rebound strength (RSI only 36.8), with high volatility continuing.

"Do the bulls want to turn things around? First, ask if the Middle East shells agree, then see if the 100,000 dollar support can hold! For specific points and strategies, follow Big D for real-time analysis from a professional perspective to help you get rich overnight"$BTC #BTC走势分析